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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. 95% chance of a WW: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2019/md2129.html
  2. Over/under on TORs today? I say 5.
  3. Trick or Treating won't be impacted if society weren't a bunch of snowflakes that cancel at the first cloud.
  4. It's buried in a disorganized website that needs a UI overhaul.
  5. Millersville University runs their tweaked in house WRF and it's a nice alternative for us here http://www.atmos.millersville.edu/~wrf/wrf.php
  6. It appears the NAM and Euro have been showing the line working east of I-81 after 00z for several consecutive runs.
  7. It's going to be very close. Best option is either a 2 hours delay or have this thing blast through at 4 or 5 pm
  8. 00z CAMS yield Significant Tornado Parameter (STP) of 2 - 5 in advance of the line and generally clear us out of junk precip. In fact, the CAMS try to really clear us out and get some quick sun in from 3 - 5 pm. It's going to be an active weather day tomorrow for sure.
  9. IMO, tomorrow is a QLCS tornado kind of day. Wouldn't surprise me to see a D1 ENH and a red box or two go out.
  10. BWI: 18" DCA: 10" IAD: 18" RIC: 10" Tiebreaker SBY: 8"
  11. There goes the flip to the west winds at DCA and suddenly the record is smashed. Lets juts go for 100 while we're at it.....
  12. IAD and BWI already broke their records. DCA probably will struggle because of the asinine ASOS placement.
  13. Try US 219 from Somerset to Grantsville. Always a nice ride with decent color.
  14. We're just a few weeks away from heavy rain and 38 on Christmas.
  15. Karen has demanded to see the manager of the atmosphere because all the shear is messing up her hair.
  16. Not looking good for winter......
  17. In DC, elevation and latitude are key. The area experiences several marginal events on the bookends of winter that make or break for your seasonal snowfall totals. Living north of Interstate 70 or west of Maryland Route 97 will put you in a good spot in Maryland. As others mentioned Damascus / Mt. Airy / Lisbon are always money. Going further out, Emmittsburg or Thurmont in Frederick County are always money. West of Dulles Airport in Virginia is also a good spot.
  18. New CPC outlook through the end of 2019 is a torch and BN precip.
  19. It can rain any day now...went fishing at Ft. Ritchie this weekend and the lake was the lowest I've ever seen.
  20. Days like this are a good day to transplant or work outside.
  21. BWI, DCA and IAD all get RERs for high temps in mid September......
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