Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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If this keeps up I'm going to have to bag the lawn every time I mow for the remainder of the summer. It's a swamp out there.
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~30 min lead time on the flash flood warning...nice
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Okay I see it now....Euro has been bulls eyeing rain too far east this spring so Maybe Baltimore proper gets nailed.
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Thanks. I must be doing something wrong because I picked 'Accumulated Total Rainfall' through 1am Saturday and it only shows ~1" in the whole area.
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Got a screen cap?
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Montgomery jackpot inbound.
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Sun really popping out now...temp up to 84.
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That cell embedded in the line near Martinsburg might get a SVR soon.
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Looks like @EastCoast NPZ may be getting rain finally.
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High dew events where the winds are perpendicular to the warm front will cause a few weak skinnies to try a pop. If things intersect properly the terrain can aid the cell a tad.
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It tried for about 3 frames then fell apart.
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Interesting little low topped cell just west of Kearneysville, WV.
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We've been doing the backdoor deathband pretty good recently.
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SLGT risk for excessive rainfall Fri -> Sat for most of us.
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Yea, there is a weak relationship between flash flooding and a few kidney beans trying to spin during these set ups. After all this talk, watch it be bone dry through the next 3 days .
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What does the hi-res guidance look like for the rest of the day?
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3 missing from the floods last night.
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I'm liking this setup. GFS is usually bone dry...if it gets wet watch out.
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Agreed.
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Someone's gonna jackpot in the rainfall category with a setup like this.
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WPC puts us in the slight risk for flash flooding Thurs & Fri
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I'm not "in", just intrigued. I agree with @yoda that severe is incredibly conditional, but whenever we get these kinds of setups you can get sneaky wet microbursts or even a lone spinny.
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Slowly getting interested in the flooding and conditional severe potential for the Thursday - Saturday timeframe. SE flow + lift + remnant tropical system = intriguing.
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Agreed on the rainfall number, but the tenacity of the event is magnified by human decisions and the terrain. 10" - 12" on Delmarva is just a pond...not a raging torrent. There are certain businesses that will probably have to be torn down this time.
