We are overloaded with cucumbers and shortly will be with tomatoes. Our garlic was phenomenal once again with over a 95% success rate and 78 heads of garlic harvested. We are going to dry the garlic and will have a fresh stock for the winter. Our Long Island Cheese pumpkins are also doing well.
If we get a weak to moderate west based El Nino we'll at least have the ingredients in place. That's half the battle in these parts. There's nothing worse than wasting 2/3rds of our prime weeks in December and January with nothing but day 15 threats go poof as they draw closer.
A setup like what is progged on the global guidance would favor the coastal plain and eastern slopes of the mountains. There would likely be a minimum somewhere around I-95 and it's important to note that not everyone would get widespread 5"+.
My experience is that we blow by guidance on the last 2 or 3 days of heat waves in these parts. It's almost like a diesel engine, slow to start but hard to stop.
Looks like a slight NE flow today, which would keep the DCA temp below 95°. That site is just so poorly place. Need to get another ob inside the District. Why not the White House or a Smithsonian location? I would make so much more sense.
Pretty robust surface instability...certainly the lack of a kicker and high heights will preclude widespread activity but if something can go up watch out.