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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    It is dubious to compare Flu-A/B to a strain of coronavirus. With Flu-A/B we have a systematic, global bio-surveillance process to identify hot spots, several vaccine derivatives that can be tweaked to adapt to the downstream flue season and event some in situ prophylactic (tami flu). Almost none of this exists with MERS, SARS or COVID. We have a bungled approach to testing a small portion of what we think is an infected person. There is no treatment protocol or prophylactic.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    All good points, none of which will likely be resolved until about <12 hours out. We're just going to have to look for trends, timing, etc an monitor upstream conditions. If we see an overperforming event in Dixie Alley with discrete action ahead of the main line, all bets are off and it could be the event of the spring. If it's QLCS mess behind stratiform rain then we fail.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Flip side....it rains a lot and we get a QLCS that wrecks the trees because of saturated soil. Either way, the Sunday PM to Monday midday is looking busy in these parts.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Monday is starting to look interesting up even towards Baltimore and Frederick. It's going to be interesting to see how Sunday plays out down south...if things go as planned down there then we probably stand a good chance of seeing a decent line move through.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Posted by a met who I believe works for Mt Holly WFO
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Bring us home
  7. Eskimo Joe
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Some beefy winds have taken down some healthy, large trees in far NW Montgomery and portions of Frederick County. Not your typical rotted root bal, healthy hardwood oaks and such.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    That cell approaching Kent Island is trying to wrap up and has a bit of a flying eagle look to it. Wouldn't shock me if PHI put a TOR possible SVR out with it. LWX has waterspouts mentioned in the SMW.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    IMO, the virtual classroom this year may start to become more of a thing. It would be a good prep for those who want to go to college because a lot of college courses are going virtual. Heck, my master's degree was fully online and I had access to a far wider array of classmates and resources than I would in a brick and mortar environment.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    This IS NOT how the Strategic National Stockpile or emergency management as a whole in this country is supposed to work. It's beyond asinine that we have to bid on our own resources against the private sector and the Feds at the same time.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Couple of 52 kt pixels with the activity over Laurel and DC proper. Really isn't going to take much convection to bring any severe level winds down to the surface.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Per GOES16, decent uptick in lightning with the activity from Walkersville on north into Carroll County.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    https://inws.ncep.noaa.gov/a/a.php?i=44300457
  15. Eskimo Joe
    SPC issued Blue Box until 20:00 UTC. WCN going out shortly.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Expect most other jurisdictions to follow suit:
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2020/md0324.html Baltimore and points NE are primed.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    A lot of the states are not going to be able to handle this. Between the logistics coordination for PPE, surge and this political hand grenade that was dumped in our lap, it's a tenuous time. There is an unusual amount of discord and lack of support from the Feds this go around and it's significantly complicating things on the state and local level.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    click the link!
  20. Eskimo Joe
    The Feds are ending Federal funding for testing this Friday unless something changes. Can't have a pandemic if you can't test for it!
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Almost every lab is backed up and many are low on the reagents necessary to run the tests. Our output is a trickle nationally of what's coming in, especially in the DC to Providence corridor.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. I've learned to always bet on a fail and be happy with anything you get.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Strengthening or mature sub 1000 mb lows running CLE -> BUF don't go quietly into the night here. If this continues, especially with the little secondary low running close to us, we could certinaly get a sneaky event with a big storm or two embedded.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Gotta watch those. Sneaky secondary max that can surprise a few areas real quick.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    DMV was under multiple tornado watches for almost 20 consecutive hours. What an event that was.
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