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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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MoOc is on the southern end of the ENH and the front is sagging south not north. You're in a good spot. Wouldn't surprise me to see the ENH expanded south a bit. Tomorrow AM will tell a lot when we get the first few shots of the visible satellite. If there are healthy breaks then I'm probably "in".
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Yup. Looks good I agree with it. We do best on days with good mid level lapse rates around here.
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I'm intrigued about the hail risk across the WV panhandle and Maryland tomorrow. Could be fun.
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This video is my bible:
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Looks like activity is splitting towards Frederick County and NOVA.
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That line is in an area of pretty good surface convergence so it should fire quick. Doesn't look like the environment is too favorable for it east of the mts though. We haven't been able to manage more than 20 min or real sun here in Baltimore today.
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Per SPC meso...we have a decent wind field but there's a ton of CIN east of the Potomac. Hope we can manage at least a decent storm or two up here in Maryland.
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I like VA south of I-66 for this one. Too much crapvection this AM up north.
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This is going to be a record low year for flooding and severe locally.
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Going to harden the tomatoes off starting Tuesday. I plan on getting all our flower beds ready over the course of the week and then planting out next weekend. Sunflowers, pumpkins and squash seeds will be planted this week as well. We are going to experiment with a Russian Mammoth sunflower cultivar and I'm super excited to see what happens. They apparently grow 10' - 12' and have a flower head at least one foot in diameter.
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Radishes starting to poke through the garden and garlic is killing it. Love watching garlic grow.
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Well that was disappointing last night. Only some brief moderate rain.
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Another TOR
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Sauce?
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Might need a local watch extension down there. Don't think the TOR risk will get north of I-66, but down there it's justified.
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The LWX TOR is a confirmed tornado.
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Heads up CHO:
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Anything less than 4" across a good swath of the region isn't heavy rain. 1" - 2" over 12 hours, especially with us being dry and starting to leaf out, is the height of meh.
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I think so many people chose the Derecho for 3 reasons: It was relatively unpredicted. There was some wavering meso guidance in the 12 to 18 hours leading up to the event of an MCS coming through, but nothing to the extent that happened. It occurred very late at night. Most of the severe weather in this happens before 9pm and this was almost 2 hours outside our climo window. The heat that followed the storm was significantly magnified by the event. So many people lost power that it essentially shoved folks back 20 or 30 years to the 70s and 80s when not many people had AC. It was rather anomalous.
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Onions will do well as the cool weather will allow them to slowly grow. They do not like a fast transition to hot weather. Carrots are a tad finiky with soil temperature and type. Heavy clay soil that is not properly broken up and aerated will stunt growth. Be careful with the greenhouse once May rolls around. If you do not provide some basic ventilation you will literally steam the plants. It happened to us the other year. I put a small mobile greenhouse on the deck and came home to steamed tomato seedlings.