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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Monday is starting to look interesting up even towards Baltimore and Frederick. It's going to be interesting to see how Sunday plays out down south...if things go as planned down there then we probably stand a good chance of seeing a decent line move through.
  2. Posted by a met who I believe works for Mt Holly WFO
  3. Some beefy winds have taken down some healthy, large trees in far NW Montgomery and portions of Frederick County. Not your typical rotted root bal, healthy hardwood oaks and such.
  4. That cell approaching Kent Island is trying to wrap up and has a bit of a flying eagle look to it. Wouldn't shock me if PHI put a TOR possible SVR out with it. LWX has waterspouts mentioned in the SMW.
  5. Couple of 52 kt pixels with the activity over Laurel and DC proper. Really isn't going to take much convection to bring any severe level winds down to the surface.
  6. Per GOES16, decent uptick in lightning with the activity from Walkersville on north into Carroll County.
  7. SPC issued Blue Box until 20:00 UTC. WCN going out shortly.
  8. Yup. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2020/md0324.html Baltimore and points NE are primed.
  9. Yup. I've learned to always bet on a fail and be happy with anything you get.
  10. Strengthening or mature sub 1000 mb lows running CLE -> BUF don't go quietly into the night here. If this continues, especially with the little secondary low running close to us, we could certinaly get a sneaky event with a big storm or two embedded.
  11. Gotta watch those. Sneaky secondary max that can surprise a few areas real quick.
  12. DMV was under multiple tornado watches for almost 20 consecutive hours. What an event that was.
  13. LWX issued SVR #32 at 4:22 am to 5:00 am and this occurred around 4:35 am based off radar.
  14. The temperature inversion acts to dampen sound and is more common during nocturnal convection.
  15. Sounds like elevated convection. You see all the lightning but don't hear the thunder. It's like sitting on the bottom of a pool and looking up and everything moving but not hearing the sound.
  16. 40% chance of a WW: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2020/md0294.html
  17. CAMS FTW...looks like that cluster near Haymarket may get warned here shortly. Nice velocities on the 0.5° BV.
  18. Part of me was hoping for an 18z RAOB out of IAD or PITT given the setup for potentially large hailers, but that doesn't appear to be the case.
  19. Thick cloud cover and this crapvection rolling into the I-81 corridor has probably nixed the afternoon risk of storms north of I-66. The 12z sounding out of IAD has a ConvT of 68° and the only place that really is exceeding that is from Warrenton south. Everywhere else is struggling to heat.
  20. Yes. Several jurisdictions have county-run operations and some hospitals have them as well so this it's a consideration for us as well.
  21. Right after we opened COVID testing sites. At least it's the HRRR so it'll probably end up verifying in the ocean or over Luray.
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