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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    If you re-rack the radar data from yesterday, it all started with those two cells in Cumberland that rode an outflow boundary out of Frederick.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Yea it definitely was a sneaky day. We get these events where it looks pretty benign and then you get a lone cell or three that would end up verifying a slight risk and a WW. Other times, it's a textbook setup and the entire subforum whiffs.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    M56mph at our EOC wx station in Gaithersburg.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    ML Lapse rates are poop and the shear is really lacking. This is isolated wet microburst / flooding.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Don't hold your breath.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    14 box in baltimore county for several vehicles in flood waters....Ruxton Rd at Circle Rd.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Unusually deep, rolling thunder and a lot of rogue CG in Reisterstown. Our younger cat is growling like a chain saw.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    RE: Ellicott City From the LWX hydro guru:
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Sustained convection east of I-81 will probably be sparse through 4pm. Despite the ConvT being reached the shear is minimal so it's going to be hard to sustain the updrafts.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    12z balloon from IAD has a Convective Temp of 87°
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Given strong insoltation and decent LL but weak ML lapse rates, there definitely is a wet microburst potential today.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like it's time for DC to get their storm.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    3rd line racing out of NOVA.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Little bit of hook there SW of Damascus?
  15. Eskimo Joe
    45kt win core on 0.5 degree BV right where the tops are shooting up and lightning spiking. Might be seeing an SVR here shortly.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    PBZ just noted a TDS near Ohioville in their chatroom. Legit line is legit to our west!
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Another cluster working across the Potomac River...looks like more CG with this one.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    That line in OH could give some folks a decent line tomorrow. Even though it's going on 9pm a large chunk of the line is warned and still producing damage.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    21:06 Phoenix // 6240 blk Blenheim Rd // Lightning struck a house causing the chimney cap to explode and charged the house with smoke.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    It's 8pm, but SPC meso analysis has over 2,500 SBCAPE and LI's over 6. Impressive.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Solid little cell racing out of western Montgomery County. I can see lightning in the tower from New Windsor.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    PDS Blue Boxes are rare. I cannot recall the last time a High Risk was issues for wind or hail. It seems that so many of the High Risk area issued by SPC are for tornadoes, but the impacts from crop loss and power outages, etc. from wind and hail are nothing to sneeze at.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    While I'm glad that we're seeing a reduction in property and life loss, it would be nice to at least get some garden variety storms. We really haven't seen a regionwide rainfall event of more than an inch in some time and it's starting t.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    It's amazing how quiet severe wx season has been in our part. We had two solid events and then crickets ever since.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Meh
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