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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    ML Lapse rates are poop and the shear is really lacking. This is isolated wet microburst / flooding.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Flash Flood Watch until 10 pm from Carroll west along the Mason-Dixon.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Don't hold your breath.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    14 box in baltimore county for several vehicles in flood waters....Ruxton Rd at Circle Rd.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Unusually deep, rolling thunder and a lot of rogue CG in Reisterstown. Our younger cat is growling like a chain saw.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    RE: Ellicott City From the LWX hydro guru:
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Sustained convection east of I-81 will probably be sparse through 4pm. Despite the ConvT being reached the shear is minimal so it's going to be hard to sustain the updrafts.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    12z balloon from IAD has a Convective Temp of 87°
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Given strong insoltation and decent LL but weak ML lapse rates, there definitely is a wet microburst potential today.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Thanks. We tried the launch spot at Prettyboy this weekend and it was absolutely dead. I've head good things about the Beckleysville Rd bridge so we're going to check it out Saturday.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Anybody fish Prettyboy Reservoir that know if any halfway decent shore fishing spots?
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Maine has stolen all our heat. Another day in the L 90s there...I need to get up there again.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Naw...half assed cut off low city.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    LR GFS and Euro are terrible if you like summer.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Had a hot minute of rain last night and some drizzle around sunrise. Looks like some sun later today?
  16. Eskimo Joe
    @wxdude64 is living prrof about what @usedtobe always says about cutoff lows and QPF maxima: they are always too far NE in the numerical guidance.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    LWX radar showing a decent uptick in returns between I-64 and I-66. Lower S. MD and NOVA should be good for rain. Noth of there...naso much.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    This time last week, the GFS was pushing almost 10" of rain on Baltimore and now it's looking like Charm City will be lucky to see 1/10th of that. If this were winter, this board would be melting down.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Yea it's been pretty amazing how cool it's been. I don't think anyone outside of a poorly placed bank thermometer have hit 95° or higher so far.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    My lawn would welcome that.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Early 60s with no health issues.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    It never ceases to amaze me how unreliable the GFS is beyond D4. EDIT: spelling
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Welcome to the Old Line State. Last week there was a significant peaceful protest in front of the Bethesda library in the parking lot. People actually made a point to stand 6 feet apart and weak a mask and openly complained the police weren't following Gov. Hogan's orders. It was bizarre.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Soil temps finally cracked 74 degrees! Time for pumpkins.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    If this post is inappropriate for this thread please remove. This morning I found out that my best friend from college (he was the best man in my wedding, I in his), his wife and his mother all tested positive for COVID. His mother is now in hospice and went from healthy to on death's doorsteps in 3 days. This is a nefarious disease and the sooner we get a treatment protocol the better.
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