IMO, big takeway from this winter is the Euro is not what it used to be. Not sure if there was an update that improved forecasting in another domain at the sacrifice of North America, but man it's been hot garbage this winter.
They said they could trend it up...or trend it down
CWG does this every event. They go <1" inside the beltway, but put their boom/bust forecast at a range of something like -4 inches to 3 feet.