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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. GFS ENS is 5" which means the OP isn't on it's own, but I'd like to know if there's a place you can view Euro OP/ENS rainfall that is night behind a paywall.
  2. I'll eat my hat if the GFS rainfall forecast even comes close to verifying on locations and amount. That would be a 500 year storm for these parts.
  3. Looks like it's time for DC to get their storm.
  4. 45kt win core on 0.5 degree BV right where the tops are shooting up and lightning spiking. Might be seeing an SVR here shortly.
  5. PBZ just noted a TDS near Ohioville in their chatroom. Legit line is legit to our west!
  6. Another cluster working across the Potomac River...looks like more CG with this one.
  7. That line in OH could give some folks a decent line tomorrow. Even though it's going on 9pm a large chunk of the line is warned and still producing damage.
  8. 21:06 Phoenix // 6240 blk Blenheim Rd // Lightning struck a house causing the chimney cap to explode and charged the house with smoke.
  9. It's 8pm, but SPC meso analysis has over 2,500 SBCAPE and LI's over 6. Impressive.
  10. Solid little cell racing out of western Montgomery County. I can see lightning in the tower from New Windsor.
  11. GFS is a soaker through HR 252, but we've seen scenario play out all spring - it looks wet long range but then goes poof inside of HR 60.
  12. We should have this until about Halloween. then we can expect partly crappy and 50 until Easter.
  13. PDS Blue Boxes are rare. I cannot recall the last time a High Risk was issues for wind or hail. It seems that so many of the High Risk area issued by SPC are for tornadoes, but the impacts from crop loss and power outages, etc. from wind and hail are nothing to sneeze at.
  14. While I'm glad that we're seeing a reduction in property and life loss, it would be nice to at least get some garden variety storms. We really haven't seen a regionwide rainfall event of more than an inch in some time and it's starting t.
  15. It's amazing how quiet severe wx season has been in our part. We had two solid events and then crickets ever since.
  16. I like your setup for the peas. When we eventually move into a larger house, I'd like to try something like that for our beans.
  17. Appears to be (another?) boundary or something racing north from Charles County. Wonder if that's maybe a bay breeze or something?
  18. You can also see it on the 0.5 degree spectrum width scan on LWX's radar.
  19. If you compare the obs at Westminster to Balt. Inner Harbor and Martin State, there appears to be a weak convergence zone setting up along the I-83 corridor. Looks like jackpotville may be living up to its name today.
  20. Yea Baltimore County has really been left high and dry of late.
  21. That has a solid wind signature on the 0.5 degree velocity scan.
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