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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    90/73 at Westminster. 79/73 at Frederick...heck of a boundary.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    More stuff back in WV along I79 corridor.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Not a lot of lightning and the tops are low on the carroll cell. I'm more interested in the ones along I81.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    SVR w/ TOR possible tag for Mt. Airy/ Damascus/New Market
  5. Eskimo Joe
    SPC issues Tornado Watch until 0200 UTC.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Red Box going all the way down to CHO.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Its being processed now.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Cell crossing I81 spiking tops to about 45kft...lightning inceeasing too.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Mean Storm Motion for today will be 263, 35
  10. Eskimo Joe
    The WV/OH is kinda beefy...that might be the real show from DC and points south.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    40 to 45kt shear per the 18z raob. Helicity favorable for anything discrete to spin.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Despite the clouds, starting to see an agitated CU field in Mt. Airy.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Cell NW of Capon Bridge looks interesting.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Cells firing west of Winchester.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    17hrrr has a legit supercell in Fairfax to DCA this evening and another running along I70 into Wilmington, de.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    It's a bit more encouraging to see plqces like MRB, FDK, and MDW getting into the upper 80s. That might put places like mappyland in play.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    I agree with High Risk that we're probably getting a red box. Latest SPC mesoanalysis is a favorable environment for a couple of tornadoes, but to me the bigger threat is straight line winds.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    The only place i can ever find them is on SPC site and it takes like 4 hours for it to show up there.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Might have a watch box drawn up and once the 18z RAOB gets finished they push it out.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Yea I'll base my interest for the rest of the day on that. I don't know why we don't have more special RAOBs.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Okay, maybe I'm too pessimistic about today:
  22. Eskimo Joe
    18z RAOB going up from IAD
  23. Eskimo Joe
  24. Eskimo Joe
    If you look at the regional radar, there's definitely some discrete stuff firing in Central WV. The challenge is to get this stuff rooted in the surface instability to start tapping the shear and helicity though. The 12z RAOB from IAD has a ConvT of 87 degrees and we aren't seeing anything in the uppers 80s until you get south and east of I95. If I were on the eastern shore or S. MD I'd be pretty psyched about today.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Yea this is looking more and more like a Delmarva and S MD threat.
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