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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Lot of the short term guidance hitting the QLCS stuff vs. Tornado risk now. Wouldn't shock my if the afternoon update drops the 10%TOR but keeps the 30% WIND.
  2. How ironic would it be to have a D1 ENH and 10% tor, but we eind up with some generic tstorm line this afternoon in like central VA?
  3. Nothing on CAD or our DOT feed. Really surprised. It came through Reisterstown as nothing but heavy rain. Radar looked a lot better than ground truth.
  4. Interesting circulation near New Windsor, Carroll County
  5. Looks like for today, the real activity for MD is back towards Cumberland.
  6. I'd gladly sacrifice today's activity to make tomorrow a sure thing especially if it meant Frederick/Carroll would get the bullseye.
  7. DY1 MOD Risk for tornado is now 15% w/ SIG Severe. There's almost no chance we get that. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/SPC_probotlk_info.html
  8. Tomorrow is an okay setup for N Central MD. I'm just glad we didn't get a DY2 MOD...that's the kiss of death in these parts.
  9. The light rain over the past two days appears to have brought the aquifers up a bit. Might have to try the Monocacy River this weekend on the fly rod.
  10. Whining only travels at the speed of sounds, hence the delay in getting out to Oklahoma.
  11. Are you endorsing tomorrow as a potential legit event?
  12. I-795 special with a UHI track to boot. EDIT: We're getting slighted for DY1 with the PM update.
  13. Wow that's a pretty bullish seasonal call for DCA.
  14. I'm always skeptical of severe in these parts of the country. We have so many things that can and do go wrong (terrain, CAD, etc.) that it's hard to get excited until the event is unfolding or right on top of you. Even the other week we had a DY1 ENH that was crapola.
  15. All good points. Some could argue that Ivan in 2004 warranted a high risk for the area...there was something like 40 confirmed tornadoes from that event and it's highly unusual to have that number in this area. Heck, we get DY1 MOD Risk that "verifies" with like 7 EF-0 tornadoes. During Ivan, there was 29 F0/1, 10 F2, 1 F3.
  16. Went to Dick's sporting goods in Hunt Valley last week and picked up a nice medium action spinning rod. My wife decided to give it a try, now my wife has a new spinning rod. #marriage
  17. Gotta write, call, show up to your state reps.
  18. The state public utility commissions license internet and cable providers to work in this jurisdiction. They hold a lot more power than people realize.
  19. Rural jurisdictions are desperately behind the times when it comes to equitable access to Internet. The local/state govs need to make this a priority yesterday.
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