Eskimo Joe

Essentially HM is saying the perturbation of the jet stream is going to put us in a more favorable for high latitude blocking in the North Atlantic as we enter December. It's not set in stone, but it's better than what the past 2 winters have shown.

If the GFS/GGEM and Euro are to be believed. I think some folks in this subforum are going to see their first legit accumulating snow in the next 10 to 17 days. I would put money on it being N&W of I-81 for now.

Wonder what the resulting winters were in DCA/BWI/PHL when there was measurable snow in the first 10 calendar days of December.

GFS/GGEM and a couple of the 00z EPS have the first accumulating snow for you next week. Would be no more than an advisory level event, but it's snow.

Compared to this time last year, we're looking better. What I'm looking for from this upcoming event are a couple of thins: 1.) What model(s) handle this best. It could give us an idea as to what guidance can be trusted more this winter. 2.) Is this going to be a model fantasy, where nothing really happens. 3.) Is this going to be a kick-the-can event where it winds up being delayed, etc. 4.) Will a fluke pattern at the start of the season be enough to actually get a workable storm for some folks.

Screams inland.

I need my snow fix. Let's go with 6" to 10" cold powder that starts just before sunrise Christmas and ends right at sun down with a nice sunset.

M0.51" overnight. Windy. Finally feels like November.

1.) Load this link: https://geodata.md.gov/topoviewer/ 2.) Under 'Statewide' drop down menu, left click 'Statewide Shaded Relief' 3.) Under 'Base Maps and Overlays', check 'Counties. Voila.

Wish it wasn't behind a paywall.

NAO, "hold my beer"

#3 was great for me and I'd take it again for several reasons: Right before Christmas. Classic ''cold powder''...minimal mixing issues. See first bullet.

I love surf fishing. Starting in the early 2000s, I would catch Southern Kingfish in Ocean City, NJ. At first it was rare and only if the water was warm during the height of summer. Now, they're everywhere and can be caught as early as Memorial Day and as late as Columbus Day. Stripers in NJ leave earlier and earlier each spring and it's a shame. Our oceans are warming and no one seems to care.

#1. Xmas snow is incredibly rare here and would be much needed in 2020.

With many people working from home this winter, that would not be as bad as normal. Power or Internet outages would be far more impactful.

#1 because I've never experienced it.

#2

Mind if I ask what you elevation is?

You're actually in a very good position for storms that run a bit inland. While DCA will be 40 and rain, you'll still stand a fighting chance of a mix or some frozen.

I thought you moved out of Stephens City?

Snow for Christmas would be amazing this year.

16 or 28 would be best