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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    Looks like it's factoring Nina with Blocking.
  2. Daniel Boone
    I usually agree with Coz for the most part but, this time I see no reason to. La ninas typically have early Winter cold followed by mild Feb. He's probably banking on losing the Nina early Winter and thinking that should lead to a cold end. If anything, if early typical nina cold does materialize and it progresses to neutral and the end turns like he thinks, that could mean a long cold Winter.
  3. Daniel Boone
    I saw that on Radar yesterday. Knew we were getting shafted.
  4. Daniel Boone
    Just 0.02" here.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Sadly, it was terrible further West. An apparent Blight killed many Leaves in September here. What Color we got was a bit late and from Tree's that were fortunate enough to not been affected from the Blight. Trees are over half bare now. Some Oaks and a few Maples still have some Foliage left.
  6. Daniel Boone
    It is sure beginning to look that way Chuck. An overall Normal Winter would be a plus for most. That is if you like Snow.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Yep. Lower than forecasted as usual.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, all the lr(long range) Model's have Enso factored in very high. You can see La nina footprint.
  9. Daniel Boone
    Read that too. His research shows pretty high percentage.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Morning low of 28 with heavy Frost this morning. Mid 20's in parts of Area.
  11. Daniel Boone
    Paltry to say the least.
  12. Daniel Boone
    Blocking breaking down along with MJO Propagation into warmer phases .
  13. Daniel Boone
    Same here.
  14. Daniel Boone
    This Storm would have produced Major Snow in part's of our Area a Month later.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. Used to be higher percentage so, things does appear to have changed.
  16. Daniel Boone
    This would have been a Snowstorm if it were a Month Later.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, hopefully the warm spell don't last the balance of November. That's not a good sign. Over 60% odds of a cold Winter when November is colder than Average. John knows the Stats on that . Saw where Terpeast put out his Outlook over in MA Sub earlier and he's going mild. Looks nearly textbook canonical Nina. SER Dominate. He's basing on SST'S Pacific and Atlantic along with QBO State.
  18. Daniel Boone
    Enjoy the day off man .
  19. Daniel Boone
    That'll at least support Upslope. Even flakes into Valley's.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. Possibly measurable snow higher eles. May be even some flakes reach Valley floors if enough caa or heavy precip rates pulls cold air down from aloft.
  21. Daniel Boone
    6z gfs. Nuff said. There will be at least a period of warmer wx after this extended cool period but doubt that warm .
  22. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. Mentioned to my Wife awhile ago that possibly some flurries or Snow showers Thursday night. If enough cold can get pulled down there could be some decent accumulations up high.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Right with you.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, nothing to it.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Model's are only as good as they're programmed and what's ingested into them. Probably either broadbrushes your area or the Data ingested is from Station's such as Lafollette ; warmer Locations. So, the Model's reflects that for your area. That's my Guess. Same way they are here. Pennington gap and the County Airport 7 Miles SW of Jonesville are the " official" Station's. They are warmer than most of the County.
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