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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. Beautiful warm March day! I was driving with the windows down blasting Van Halen’s Panama Spring has sprung! I feel like dancing
  2. Exactly, there is no cold air in Canada or the CONUS right through 3/15 and beyond. The Equinox is 3/19. Game over. Been game over, it’s time some folks accept reality and move on. We are beating a dead horse now. The fat lady has sung and gone home
  3. He’s still going to be doing it in April. “Joe Bastardi said….”
  4. That’s going to be a really good trick with zero cold air
  5. Absolutely no GEPS ensemble support whatsoever for that extreme outlier operational CMC run GFS: Nothing GEFS: Nothing ICON: Nothing EURO: Nothing EPS: Nothing UKMET: Nothing NWS Blend of Models: Nothing
  6. Next Sunday is going to be amazing. After 7pm sunsets come back
  7. It’s been an epic deluge for our area from October till now with very few breaks in between
  8. Tropical tidbits “snow” maps at 10:1 ratios. Incorrect clown maps. Severely, laughably overdone, it even says “includes sleet”. That’s not even remotely close to reality, but you do you
  9. No cold. Funny how you don’t show the EPS snow mean. I wonder why that is? @NEG NAO Top weenie statement: “There’s no cold at the surface but it will ‘make its own cold’ and pull it down from aloft!!” “Dynamic cooling!!”
  10. EURO/CMC/ICON vs GFS….but let’s believe the GFS because it has snow
  11. Right, just go with the coldest and snowiest model and say it’s correct. Its been God awful all winter long. Beyond dreadful and has a severe cold bias.
  12. The CMC and ICON have all rain
  13. It’s denial and desperation at this point. They can’t let it go. Next weekend’s setup looks absolutely awful outside of interior, elevated northern New England. No cold, garbage airmass, approaching mid-March. Certain people are still chasing phantom snowstorms and cold and snow ghosts. It’s akin to someone who just lost a loved one and is in deep denial
  14. We’re done. Still no arctic cold anywhere to be found on our side of the hemisphere on 3/15. People still holding onto “winter isn’t over, snow and cold is coming mid-late March” is the equivalent of Kate Winslet not letting go of Leonardo DiCaprio after the Titanic had already sunk
  15. You are unbelievably arrogant and pompous. I would expect no less
  16. Oh you’re back again, I figured you couldn’t be far after this morning’s GFS run. You must be getting ready to hype how wonderful, great and epic mid-late March looks. Textbook KU pattern and major blocking and cold is coming right? Stand down. After all your bombastic cold and snow hype busts this winter and last winter you should take some time to work on humility
  17. The GFS is better huh? You mean the model that kept showing the phantom anafront snow run after run? I’m sure you remember it well because you hyped it all last weekend and kept posting the GFS runs. Yea, it’s a great model, absolutely superb. How much anafront snow did you get today? I haven’t had a chance to check yet….
  18. Day 10 on the op GFS good luck! Lol If that verifies I will jump into the Hudson River naked
  19. My apologies, I stand corrected. My memory is going already lol It was actually @40/70 Benchmark
  20. Well, Judah Cohen just stuck a fork in this winter/March in his new blog. And kudos to @bluewave saying that 72-73 was a very good match for this winter months ago. It looks like a very good match for March too:
  21. Just to add, the arctic air staying locked in Eurasia ended up being one of the biggest red flags….that has been a staple in some of our worst winters of all time
  22. This winter will be most remembered for long range cold and snow fantasies on the weeklies, on the 11-15 day ensembles and failed SSW attempts. Looking back on it, there were red flags all over the place back in November….the east-leaning super El Niño, the ++IOD, the blazing hot WPAC SSTs, strong -PDO, cold GOA, roaring PAC jet/jet extensions, the MJO wave trains, arctic cold locked on the other side of the globe in Eurasia, the record low snow and ice cover, very high solar activity, *possible* Hunga Tonga volcanic effects on the stratosphere, ++AMO; no semblance of a “tripole” in the Atlantic SSTs, AGW (big factor). The only thing we had going for us was the -QBO, which was not anywhere near enough of a factor to override the other bad stuff. There were also proven studies from Joe D’Aleo that a -QBO/El Nino combo leads to below normal snowfall along the east coast, I-95 corridor
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