snowman19
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Everything posted by snowman19
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It’s hard to believe that the last true drought emergency we had in the metro area was over 22 years ago (2002). The drought/wet cycles don’t normally run this long
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A very dangerous picture is getting painted for this upcoming Atlantic hurricane season. All the indicators right now are pointing to a record breaking season and have been since March….
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The only one (besides people who aren’t mets) who was hyping an I-95 corridor snowstorm for this week was JB. He was also suggesting that April, 1982 was a good match. Not surprising coming from him though. He’s been completely off the rails since November
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Yep. The CMC 10:1 ratio “snow” maps from Tropical Tidbits that were getting shared and hyped for the simple reason that they showed snow were laughable. They had zero support from any other global or mesoscale model from the word go but people ran with them anyway…..
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I sure has, way worse than the GFS. I still can’t believe some mets actually ran with it and its bogus projections for this week
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As expected….massive fail incoming for the CMC suite with the snow fantasies it kept insisting on, run after run. Embarrassing
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Good luck getting snow in April with those mid-level temps and thicknesses. People need to let it go. It’s been game over for the metro area since 2/17. Thank God this is coming:
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A further north version
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Some were saying this week’s pattern looked like April of ‘82. Obviously a horrible match
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So much for the April, 1982 hype on “X” last week….
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Ok Joe Bastardi…..
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Thankfully it looks like this week is the beginning of the end of this horrific pattern. My little cousin’s little league season starts on Saturday. Hoping for decent weather from here on out for them
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I think we easily see 3+ inches of rain between today and Friday morning
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NAM cold bias again. God awful model. It was way too cold all winter long. Outlier….tossed
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This wouldn’t have been a snowstorm in the metro area in mid-January let alone April. All rain event start to finish….
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The NAM at 84 hours is like looking at the Famer’s Almanac for a forecast
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I would argue that even for interior central New England, this is not a snowstorm, not with a juiced up primary low cutting that far north
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Soil moisture is over 120% of normal right now and all the rivers, lakes, streams and reservoirs are at capacity. The last thing we need is more rain but here it comes again
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Yep. Best of luck getting a snowstorm in the metro area with a very strong primary low cutting that far north before coastal redevelopment takes over. This is an all rain event
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The CMC is an extreme outlier. Toss it right into the trash where it belongs. Saying it’s not is wishcasting, pure and simple
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ROTFLMFAOOOO!!!!
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I’m worried about a dangerous Atlantic hurricane season coming up…record warm MDR already, ++AMO, rapidly developing (possibly strong) La Niña…bad, bad combination. I also think we see a very hot summer with a likely roided up SE ridge and given the extreme soil moisture we have in place, it’s probably going to be humid as hell too
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Yep, big warmup coming, multi-model ensemble agreement on that too. Would not surprise me at all to see widespread 70’s show up again
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The storm is trending into an interior northern New England event. April, strong primary/parent low driving into Lake Erie, no antecedent arctic airmass in place prior to the event, strong WAR out ahead of it, coastal redevelopment happens too late for this latitude….
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We haven’t seen a “south trend” all winter long. Good luck lol @Brian5671 Agree 100% with you, the comparisons being made by some on X to 4/6/82 are wishcasting at its finest. We had a very anomalous true arctic outbreak back then. It is apples and oranges, not even remotely close
