
snowman19
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Everything posted by snowman19
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
snowman19 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
No one gives a rat’s ass or a Goddamn what that idiot thinks -
You’ve been saying this since November
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Yep. And look at where all the arctic cold is…locked on the complete opposite side of the pole in Eurasia and it stays there into March. This winter is not only on life support, the Priest has given it Last Rights and the heart monitor is starting to flatline…..
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The fat lady is standing at the mic and she’s warming up her vocal cords…..
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The warmth from November through today has been staggering and it’s not done yet, it looks to continue into early March….at least. Hard to believe actually. Even for a super El Niño this is just ridiculous:
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Yea, possibly, if we believe that MJO progression is correct, but my guess is March averages warmer to much warmer than normal. Early March at least looks way above average. Past strong El Nino events had warm early-mid March’s but they did get cooler after mid-March. We’ll see
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Would not surprise me if the tail end of February and March torch, then a huge -NAO block shows up in April and we keep getting backdoored for 30 days
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Here comes the latest SSW non event. The stratospheric models have been about as reliable as the weeklies . The dumpster fire continues….
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
snowman19 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
No offense but don’t you live in Philadelphia? What exactly are you hoping to get down there in March? And all the SSW hype has been fail after fail all winter. Total voodoo -
72-73 has actually been a decent analog. Both very strong El Niño, both strong -PDO
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It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
snowman19 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Ok Joe Bastardi -
It’s not even remotely worth looking at the CFS for March until like 2/28. They have a known record of not having the slightest glimmer of a clue and flip flop like a fish out of water until just before the next month starts
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@bluewave The signal on the ensembles for an extremely warm last few days of February and especially early March is astounding. I haven’t seen a signal this strong since probably March, 2012
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I got around 8 inches
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Past strong/super El Niños did get less hostile after mid-March. Early-mid March strongly favors a hostile, warmer than normal pattern though, looking back at history. Problem is that post mid-March, minus some very anomalous event, you are really fighting spring climo, sun angle and length of day and it gets worse with each passing day at that point. The clock will really be ticking
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
snowman19 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Hope you enjoyed -
The setup next week is God awful
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
snowman19 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Here comes the last minute north trend. Shocker!! @ag3 There will be WWA’s hoisted later this afternoon, probably all the way up into the NW suburbs. Good God the models have been awful with these last 2 events -
It was a Flop... February 2024 Disco. Thread
snowman19 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
The next “threat” to watch become all rain for NYC….. -
Good luck
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IMO that setup looks absolutely awful for anywhere close to I-95. No cold going into it and no blocking
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Refresher snow & obs between ~midnight and Noon Sat Feb 17 2024
snowman19 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
RGEM and Euro/EPS are 2-3+. WWAs probably go up tonight -
Yep. This one is following the strong Nino climo of warmth early-mid March warmup