snowman19
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Everything posted by snowman19
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When you look at the synoptic picture (rapidly developing La Niña, -PDO, ++AMO) that actually points to anything but a cool summer, actually points to a SE ridge on roids summer. The high soil moisture does point to wet/humid
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Hot is an understatement. Yes it was dry but boy was 2010 a torch summer
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Thursday night into Friday morning looks nasty, very heavy rain, high winds. What else is new? The beat goes on
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The high school teams here always play their first game the last week of March and without fail it’s always chilly and miserable. My cousin’s little league season started today and it sucked, way too cool but that’s baseball in the northeast I guess
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There’s no high latitude blocking to slow it down. Hard sell on 3 days of rain
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This wet pattern we’ve been in since the end of the last drought in 2002 can’t continue forever. Law of averages, eventually this cycle has to end, it’s astonishing that its even lasted 22 years
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At least back in 2011 we knew we were f***ed once that huge Bering Sea vortex showed up a few days after Thanksgiving. It became a semi-permanent feature that winter and the +EPO floodgates were wide open from the end of November right through the beginning of April
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It’s hard to believe that the last true drought emergency we had in the metro area was over 22 years ago (2002). The drought/wet cycles don’t normally run this long
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A very dangerous picture is getting painted for this upcoming Atlantic hurricane season. All the indicators right now are pointing to a record breaking season and have been since March….
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The only one (besides people who aren’t mets) who was hyping an I-95 corridor snowstorm for this week was JB. He was also suggesting that April, 1982 was a good match. Not surprising coming from him though. He’s been completely off the rails since November
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Yep. The CMC 10:1 ratio “snow” maps from Tropical Tidbits that were getting shared and hyped for the simple reason that they showed snow were laughable. They had zero support from any other global or mesoscale model from the word go but people ran with them anyway…..
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I sure has, way worse than the GFS. I still can’t believe some mets actually ran with it and its bogus projections for this week
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As expected….massive fail incoming for the CMC suite with the snow fantasies it kept insisting on, run after run. Embarrassing
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Good luck getting snow in April with those mid-level temps and thicknesses. People need to let it go. It’s been game over for the metro area since 2/17. Thank God this is coming:
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A further north version
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Some were saying this week’s pattern looked like April of ‘82. Obviously a horrible match
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So much for the April, 1982 hype on “X” last week….
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Ok Joe Bastardi…..
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Thankfully it looks like this week is the beginning of the end of this horrific pattern. My little cousin’s little league season starts on Saturday. Hoping for decent weather from here on out for them
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I think we easily see 3+ inches of rain between today and Friday morning
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NAM cold bias again. God awful model. It was way too cold all winter long. Outlier….tossed
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This wouldn’t have been a snowstorm in the metro area in mid-January let alone April. All rain event start to finish….
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The NAM at 84 hours is like looking at the Famer’s Almanac for a forecast
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I would argue that even for interior central New England, this is not a snowstorm, not with a juiced up primary low cutting that far north
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Soil moisture is over 120% of normal right now and all the rivers, lakes, streams and reservoirs are at capacity. The last thing we need is more rain but here it comes again
