snowman19

Tropical tidbits “snow” maps at 10:1 ratios. Incorrect clown maps. Severely, laughably overdone, it even says “includes sleet”. That’s not even remotely close to reality, but you do you

No cold. Funny how you don’t show the EPS snow mean. I wonder why that is? @NEG NAO Top weenie statement: “There’s no cold at the surface but it will ‘make its own cold’ and pull it down from aloft!!” “Dynamic cooling!!”

EURO/CMC/ICON vs GFS….but let’s believe the GFS because it has snow

Right, just go with the coldest and snowiest model and say it’s correct. Its been God awful all winter long. Beyond dreadful and has a severe cold bias.

The CMC and ICON have all rain

It’s denial and desperation at this point. They can’t let it go. Next weekend’s setup looks absolutely awful outside of interior, elevated northern New England. No cold, garbage airmass, approaching mid-March. Certain people are still chasing phantom snowstorms and cold and snow ghosts. It’s akin to someone who just lost a loved one and is in deep denial

We’re done. Still no arctic cold anywhere to be found on our side of the hemisphere on 3/15. People still holding onto “winter isn’t over, snow and cold is coming mid-late March” is the equivalent of Kate Winslet not letting go of Leonardo DiCaprio after the Titanic had already sunk

You are unbelievably arrogant and pompous. I would expect no less

Oh you’re back again, I figured you couldn’t be far after this morning’s GFS run. You must be getting ready to hype how wonderful, great and epic mid-late March looks. Textbook KU pattern and major blocking and cold is coming right? Stand down. After all your bombastic cold and snow hype busts this winter and last winter you should take some time to work on humility

The GFS is better huh? You mean the model that kept showing the phantom anafront snow run after run? I’m sure you remember it well because you hyped it all last weekend and kept posting the GFS runs. Yea, it’s a great model, absolutely superb. How much anafront snow did you get today? I haven’t had a chance to check yet….

Day 10 on the op GFS good luck! Lol If that verifies I will jump into the Hudson River naked

My apologies, I stand corrected. My memory is going already lol It was actually @40/70 Benchmark

Well, Judah Cohen just stuck a fork in this winter/March in his new blog. And kudos to @bluewave saying that 72-73 was a very good match for this winter months ago. It looks like a very good match for March too:

Just to add, the arctic air staying locked in Eurasia ended up being one of the biggest red flags….that has been a staple in some of our worst winters of all time

This winter will be most remembered for long range cold and snow fantasies on the weeklies, on the 11-15 day ensembles and failed SSW attempts. Looking back on it, there were red flags all over the place back in November….the east-leaning super El Niño, the ++IOD, the blazing hot WPAC SSTs, strong -PDO, cold GOA, roaring PAC jet/jet extensions, the MJO wave trains, arctic cold locked on the other side of the globe in Eurasia, the record low snow and ice cover, very high solar activity, *possible* Hunga Tonga volcanic effects on the stratosphere, ++AMO; no semblance of a “tripole” in the Atlantic SSTs, AGW (big factor). The only thing we had going for us was the -QBO, which was not anywhere near enough of a factor to override the other bad stuff. There were also proven studies from Joe D’Aleo that a -QBO/El Nino combo leads to below normal snowfall along the east coast, I-95 corridor

@bluewave So much for that mid-late March “pattern change”. The PAC is not going to change at all, +WPO/+EPO as expected. Another mirage in the never ending series of long range mirages since November…

The PAC ain’t changing…. +WPO/+EPO FTW. So much for that plunge into an arctic tundra with mountains of snow mid-late March some were hyping on twitter….

The PAC pattern stays God awful as far as the eye can see. ++EPO/++WPO and nothing but Pacific maritime air in Canada and the CONUS right through mid-March and beyond. Even if a -NAO/-AO develop, it won’t help, just traps PAC air underneath

Yea because it’s flooded with PAC air and all the arctic is over in Eurasia. The blocks are just going to trap that air because the PAC stays in a garbage pattern. BIG problem. Marginal cold doesn’t cut it come mid-late March anymore. It’s time to declare this one dead. Let it go

I can’t wait for the next can kick….late March and early April for the “cold” and snow. I have no doubt that one is coming…..

Serious question, where is all the arctic cold going to come from since it’s all on the other side of the hemisphere in Eurasia? Marginal cold won’t cut it anymore come mid-late March like it does in Dec-Jan-Feb at our latitude. Once you get to 3/15 and beyond it’s game over south of New England minus some freak/very anomalous event

The 1st 2 weeks of March look very warm and delightful on the ensembles. It’s a beautiful, wonderful thing!