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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. snowman19
    Marginal cold won’t cut it near the coast in mid-late March, you would need anomalous arctic air in place at that point and that’s going to be locked in Eurasia
  2. snowman19
    Wow! A phantom anafront a week out on the operational GFS that’s never going to happen. Looks riveting!
  3. snowman19
    After all the non stop hype from some since November, around 2 weeks total of true arctic cold in mid-January and one 10+ storm (one 8-9 inch storm for my neck of the woods)…going into March…that’s all we have to show for it….pretty sad
  4. snowman19
    I think we’re done outside of some freak, anomalous event which is always a risk every year in mid-late March. Even if we assume the pattern flips at 3/15 (big assumption), at that point, at our latitude, it’s spring climo/sun angle/length of day season. Average highs in the 50’s. The Equinox is only 4 days later and all of the arctic cold is locked on the other side of the hemisphere in Eurasia going into March. We are very likely donzo
  5. snowman19
  6. snowman19
  7. snowman19
    Not only that, look at where all the arctic air is….in Eurasia on the complete opposite side of the pole
  8. snowman19
    Lol @the_other_guy Apparently a freak mesoscale, narrow band means all the February hype verified!!
  9. snowman19
    Yep. Now it’s “mid-March onwards”. How many times is this now? Just keep kicking the can down the road….
  10. snowman19
    Here we go again. Now it’s “mid-March onwards”. Wash, rinse, repeat
  11. snowman19
    Once we get to mid-March we will be fighting spring climo, sun angle and length of day. It’s over at our latitude at that point minus some freak, anomalous event
  12. snowman19
    No one gives a rat’s ass or a Goddamn what that idiot thinks
  13. snowman19
    You’ve been saying this since November
  14. snowman19
    Yep. And look at where all the arctic cold is…locked on the complete opposite side of the pole in Eurasia and it stays there into March. This winter is not only on life support, the Priest has given it Last Rights and the heart monitor is starting to flatline…..
  15. snowman19
    The fat lady is standing at the mic and she’s warming up her vocal cords…..
  16. snowman19
    The warmth from November through today has been staggering and it’s not done yet, it looks to continue into early March….at least. Hard to believe actually. Even for a super El Niño this is just ridiculous:
  17. snowman19
    Yea, possibly, if we believe that MJO progression is correct, but my guess is March averages warmer to much warmer than normal. Early March at least looks way above average. Past strong El Nino events had warm early-mid March’s but they did get cooler after mid-March. We’ll see
  18. snowman19
    Would not surprise me if the tail end of February and March torch, then a huge -NAO block shows up in April and we keep getting backdoored for 30 days
  19. snowman19
    It’s not even on life support. Its in the cemetery
  20. snowman19
    Here comes the latest SSW non event. The stratospheric models have been about as reliable as the weeklies . The dumpster fire continues….
  21. snowman19
    No offense but don’t you live in Philadelphia? What exactly are you hoping to get down there in March? And all the SSW hype has been fail after fail all winter. Total voodoo
  22. snowman19
    72-73 has actually been a decent analog. Both very strong El Niño, both strong -PDO
  23. snowman19
  24. snowman19
    Ok Joe Bastardi
  25. snowman19
    It’s not even remotely worth looking at the CFS for March until like 2/28. They have a known record of not having the slightest glimmer of a clue and flip flop like a fish out of water until just before the next month starts
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