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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. Chinook
    Tonight, the low clouds finally dissipated and there were some nice high clouds of a couple of types close to sunset. The temp is down to 70 now, with, thankfully dew points down to 61. During this weekend's storm and earlier today, my place had light rain, drizzle, low clouds, with dew points up to 72 on Saturday. It feels like this whole region wasted a chance for good thunderstorms. Mostly steady rains went from Indiana to Michigan and killed the instability that could have been. I think my place got 0.3" of rain and I could barely even tell it happened.
  2. Chinook
    high winds of 65-70mph detected by radar above ground
  3. Chinook
    possible tornado near Snell Virginia
  4. Chinook
    I'm still amazed at how long the Hagerstown supercell has stayed together. It's almost about to be crushed by the squall line.
  5. Chinook
    Currently there is one new tornado warning in the mountain corridor of the WV/VA state line. One note on an amazing event in years past, in the 1974 super outbreak I believe there was an F-3 tornado climbed up and down one or more mountain ridges in West Virginia. So there's that.
  6. Chinook
    triple severe storm threat northwest of Washington
  7. Chinook
    I was watching the Convective Chronicles youtube video (expert forecast) with the sound off and the closed captioning on. Better watch out for that high effective stormwater publicity!
  8. Chinook
    Already 1.25" hail reported west of Hagerstown.
  9. Chinook
    This is a really blue sector the CC. It's probably a false indicator of tornado damage. Rotation seems to be notable at the same spot. This is the Maryland/ WV border. (farthest west Maryland)
  10. Chinook
    The convection allowing models favor the idea of several storms near St. Louis and into the southern half of Illinois tomorrow. The NAM-12km says the CAPE could be up to 2000-3000 J/kg late in the day at 00z. The 500mb winds will be pretty strong, increasing into the nighttime, with over 40 kt of 0-6km shear, so I think there could be supercells. I would think tornado chances will be low due to weaker 850mb winds. The storms could move to southern Indiana and northern Kentucky, while riding along the faster 500mb-700mb winds.
  11. Chinook
    two tornado warnings near Lafayette IN
  12. Chinook
    And yet another severe thunderstorm watch for SE Colorado, with probably a few supercells getting going soon. This is pretty late in the season for wind shear.
  13. Chinook
    New outlook. wow, slight risk in Kentucky. so exciting. Maybe Illinois will get a few storms.
  14. Chinook
    My thinking is usually global models have a better handle on upper level winds, which is a huge part of forecasting.
  15. Chinook
    The severe weather events in the recent 1-2 weeks have had a lot of storm reports, so don't give up on it just yet.
  16. Chinook
    New flash flood warning for west of Loveland (Masonville.) I kind of liked going over to Bobcat Ridge park over there, but there's not a lot of trails. Severe storm watch for eastern Colorado.
  17. Chinook
    The 00z, 06z and 12z GFS all have storms being the Gulf of Mexico, but it's a long way out. This is, of course, the time when you'd like to see the models have a couple of developing systems in the central Atlantic if you were expecting kind of a normal start to the season.
  18. Chinook
    My place had a red sun before sunset tonight due to the forest fire smoke. It probably won't surprise any of you. There were no shadows before sunset.
  19. Chinook
    The storms today are starting to look like a repeat of last night.
  20. Chinook
    Already one flash flood warning issued today (Jefferson County)
  21. Chinook
    Yes, the storm that started by Wellington propagated southwestward and sat over Fort Collins. My Radarscope program said there were about 150 lightning strikes near north Fort Collins in the recent time frame. That's one of the things that can happen with the non-westerly flow that powers up the monsoon surges. There are slow upper level winds, and the tendency to pop new storms at the foothills and the cities and they can move so slow that it becomes a flash flood. I'm assuming there were street flooding problems at Fort Collins.
  22. Chinook
  23. Chinook
    It's the most predictable thing about northern Colorado weather in most years: the rainy monsoon nights about the beginning of August. And the dew point there is higher than my dew point in Ohio.
  24. Chinook
    I guess you guys are in a normal monsoon pattern with moisture coming out of the desert, storms developing over the mountains, and better than average dew points over the plains. At this moment, possible 2" hail at Boulder, Wellington
  25. Chinook
    Google maps panorama of RMNP's Alpine Visitor Center, with date-tag in December . In December, you couldn't drive on Trail Ridge Road, you would be freezing to death with 5 ft snow depth!!!
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