Chinook

Today, I got to see the comet again. Skies were more hazy in the afternoon and evening due to humidity. To the north, there was this:

I got in pictures of the sunset tonight and last night. Tonight, I finally saw the comet. It seems to be about 10 degrees below the cup of the big dipper. It's a little bit visible to the naked eye, and I used binoculars. edit: by the way, we could get scattered thunderstorms tomorrow, with dew points possibly up around 60. Maybe there will be something near Denver.

My parents near Toledo had at least a 40 or 50 mph wind knock over a patio table/umbrella with a thunderstorm yesterday. Toledo Express Airport got 1.11" yesterday, and this makes 2.58" for this month. That thunderstorm popped up in advance of the MCS area, and dropped 1"-1.5" in the Toledo area., south of downtown. KTOL is probably one of the only airports in Ohio with above normal preciptation this month. More than 90% of Ohio is below average precipitation for this month. The area is also 5.5 degrees F above average for this month. Perhaps it will be a top-5 warmest July.

Elizabeth City, NC is at 98/78/116 right now, and Edenton NC is at 112 heat index. I don't ever think I've heard of an East Coast heat index over 116.

I also have not been able to see the comet. I am bordering on being very mad at the weather Tornado warning near the small towns of Paoli and Haxtun, Colorado

My hand analysis of heat index, from 95 to 110. I made a little mistake near Chicago. I could have put some of the yellow 100-degree contour down by Paducah KY.

Radar from first tornado (south of South Pekin IL)

Denver is already 4.7F above normal for this month. Fort Collins- CSU is 2.4F or higher, with one day of missing data. Today, my area was around 95, when a severe thunderstorm warning was issued for a storm that seemed kind of weak on radar over the mountains. The wind picked up to 40 mph here, my area only got sprinkles. The temperature dropped to around 80 for the late afternoon. Some severe wind reports were close to the Wyoming border. Tomorrow, the NAM has unrealistically low temps, that is, 58 degrees at noon. I don't think it will be that cool. NWS says a high of 80 tomorrow, then getting back to the 90's on Thursday. I have not yet seen that new comet in the evening sky. I think it's in the evening right now.

NWS Phoenix

I took a walk a few minutes ago. Some mixed clouds in the sky made for very nice sunset colors. We still have some breezes of 10-15 mph at sunset with temperatures over 80, maybe 85 at 8:00PM. High temperatures were 94-96 for most areas near here and in Denver. In the afternoon we had varying winds of 10-25mph in the region. Tomorrow, mid- 90's should continue for northern Colorado, with 100-105 in southeast Colorado. Models show a chance of thunderstorms tomorrow, quite possibly with very low total QPF.

I'm not really questioning NHC methods on any of this, really. Named storms outside of the Main Development Region can be weak, and I'm just having some fun with it. You must admit that T.S. Fay, yesterday and today, developed close to the coast. It developed at or near Cape Hatteras, at 35 degrees north, and headed to the more marginal sea temperatures of New Jersey.

It got up to 96 to 101 degrees in the Front Range cities, including 98.5 degrees at my house. I put my indoor thermometer outside, in the shade, on the north side of the house, so it didn't get any contribution from direct sunlight. 101 at KFNL airport, 99 at Denver.

I have a bone to pick with the Atlantic hurricane season and I am going to post it here 1. Tropical Storm Arthur: it existed as a 35 kt tropical storm from 11:00 PM EDT May 16th, until May 19th. Its maximum wind of 45 knots. It tracked northeastward. C'mon Man! 2. Tropical Storm Bertha: it existed from 8:30AM EDT until mid-afternoon on May 27th, as a low intensity tropical storm over water. I then made landfall in South Carolina. C'mon Man! 3. Tropical Storm Cristobal. Had an initial intensity of 35 knots at 4:00 PM CDT June 2nd. It made landfall on Mexico and weakened, It spent June 6th - 7th over the Gulf of Mexico as a 45 knot slopstorm. It made landfall on southeastern Louisiana. The radar images and the wind gusts were barely interesting, yet it caused a "disaster" near the Gulf Coast. 35 mph wind getting you down? I can sneeze faster than 35 mph. Can't deal with rain? The Gulf Coast gets over 60" of rain per year. Then it tracked toward Wisconsin as a tropical mess, with 20mph wind. Come On Man! 4. Tropical Storm Dolly. it had an intensity of 35-40 knots from 1:00 PM AST June 23 to 11:00 PM AST the same day. C'mon Man! 5. Tropical Storm Eduoard. The intensity of this cyclone was just 35-40 knots from 11:00AM AST July 5, until 24 hours later. It tracked eastward. C'mon Man! 6. Tropical Storm Fay: So far, Tropical Storm Fay has had 3 hours at 40 knots, super close to the coast. I don't even know if anybody has measured a 46 mph wind, seriously. C'mon Man!

Fort Morgan, CO has jumpstarted our 100 degree heat wave for NE Colorado. It was 100 degrees at 12:15PM.

Some heat records may be broken in the southern plains, Denver, Albuquerque, or Phoenix.

The NWS forecast for Toledo has several 96's in the future. If the forecast is completely correct, then Toledo will be 7.1 degrees above normal from June 27th until next Saturday, July 11th.

Eastern Colorado should have some showers and thunderstorms today and tomorrow, and I would suppose this will help keep temps below 95 for quite a few areas. I guess it is questionable if very much rainfall really hits the I-25 cities. Fort Collins had +2.8F for June and my place in Loveland got 2.15" of rainfall. The 1981-2010 average for Fort Collins is 2.17", so precipitation was normal compared to that climatological average. That's so close to normal, that it's very strange. It has been a very long time since I really had a normal-precipitation summer month with precipitation spread out nicely into different weeks. 2019-2020 snow statistics: Fort Collins-CSU: 73.9" my place: 79.9" This was fairly similar to the snowy winter of 2012-2013, when snow slammed my area in March through May 2013. For 2019-2020, the timing of snow was quite different.

Did 1995 almost make the list?

My area had a couple of periods of rain, mostly associated the upper-level lift, and not much associated with higher CAPE. We had stratiform rain yesterday morning. Then, we had a very nice blue skies with a high temp of about 80 degrees and breeze to 15mph, with some cumulus clouds later. Then, at 11:30PM, we had this

For eastern Colorado, the trend over the next week should be upwards-- possibly peaking at about 100 degrees on July 8th, but that is 9 days away.

Southwest Iowa is has dew points of 75-79 right now.

The drought has been getting steadily worse for a number of areas. The GEFS ensembles don't show any notable above-normal precip areas in the southwestern 1/4 of the US very soon.

There will probably be quite a few more storm reports out of these sections of the line that are bowing outward.

Sorry to hear that. I guess the storms missed your area. There was almost no precip on radar-estimated storm total for your area. My place got some moderate rain today, with a few loud rumbles of thunder. maybe 0.25"-0.40". As I said yesterday, my area kind of keeps getting lucky. Yesterday the storm total was about 0.12" but it felt like more.

There have been plenty of hail reports near Colorado Springs, now the storm has 75 dBz. There could have been a tornado, but there are no reports.