Chinook

It got up to 96 to 101 degrees in the Front Range cities, including 98.5 degrees at my house. I put my indoor thermometer outside, in the shade, on the north side of the house, so it didn't get any contribution from direct sunlight. 101 at KFNL airport, 99 at Denver.

I have a bone to pick with the Atlantic hurricane season and I am going to post it here 1. Tropical Storm Arthur: it existed as a 35 kt tropical storm from 11:00 PM EDT May 16th, until May 19th. Its maximum wind of 45 knots. It tracked northeastward. C'mon Man! 2. Tropical Storm Bertha: it existed from 8:30AM EDT until mid-afternoon on May 27th, as a low intensity tropical storm over water. I then made landfall in South Carolina. C'mon Man! 3. Tropical Storm Cristobal. Had an initial intensity of 35 knots at 4:00 PM CDT June 2nd. It made landfall on Mexico and weakened, It spent June 6th - 7th over the Gulf of Mexico as a 45 knot slopstorm. It made landfall on southeastern Louisiana. The radar images and the wind gusts were barely interesting, yet it caused a "disaster" near the Gulf Coast. 35 mph wind getting you down? I can sneeze faster than 35 mph. Can't deal with rain? The Gulf Coast gets over 60" of rain per year. Then it tracked toward Wisconsin as a tropical mess, with 20mph wind. Come On Man! 4. Tropical Storm Dolly. it had an intensity of 35-40 knots from 1:00 PM AST June 23 to 11:00 PM AST the same day. C'mon Man! 5. Tropical Storm Eduoard. The intensity of this cyclone was just 35-40 knots from 11:00AM AST July 5, until 24 hours later. It tracked eastward. C'mon Man! 6. Tropical Storm Fay: So far, Tropical Storm Fay has had 3 hours at 40 knots, super close to the coast. I don't even know if anybody has measured a 46 mph wind, seriously. C'mon Man!

Fort Morgan, CO has jumpstarted our 100 degree heat wave for NE Colorado. It was 100 degrees at 12:15PM.

Some heat records may be broken in the southern plains, Denver, Albuquerque, or Phoenix.

The NWS forecast for Toledo has several 96's in the future. If the forecast is completely correct, then Toledo will be 7.1 degrees above normal from June 27th until next Saturday, July 11th.

Eastern Colorado should have some showers and thunderstorms today and tomorrow, and I would suppose this will help keep temps below 95 for quite a few areas. I guess it is questionable if very much rainfall really hits the I-25 cities. Fort Collins had +2.8F for June and my place in Loveland got 2.15" of rainfall. The 1981-2010 average for Fort Collins is 2.17", so precipitation was normal compared to that climatological average. That's so close to normal, that it's very strange. It has been a very long time since I really had a normal-precipitation summer month with precipitation spread out nicely into different weeks. 2019-2020 snow statistics: Fort Collins-CSU: 73.9" my place: 79.9" This was fairly similar to the snowy winter of 2012-2013, when snow slammed my area in March through May 2013. For 2019-2020, the timing of snow was quite different.

Did 1995 almost make the list?

My area had a couple of periods of rain, mostly associated the upper-level lift, and not much associated with higher CAPE. We had stratiform rain yesterday morning. Then, we had a very nice blue skies with a high temp of about 80 degrees and breeze to 15mph, with some cumulus clouds later. Then, at 11:30PM, we had this

For eastern Colorado, the trend over the next week should be upwards-- possibly peaking at about 100 degrees on July 8th, but that is 9 days away.

Southwest Iowa is has dew points of 75-79 right now.

The drought has been getting steadily worse for a number of areas. The GEFS ensembles don't show any notable above-normal precip areas in the southwestern 1/4 of the US very soon.

There will probably be quite a few more storm reports out of these sections of the line that are bowing outward.

Sorry to hear that. I guess the storms missed your area. There was almost no precip on radar-estimated storm total for your area. My place got some moderate rain today, with a few loud rumbles of thunder. maybe 0.25"-0.40". As I said yesterday, my area kind of keeps getting lucky. Yesterday the storm total was about 0.12" but it felt like more.

There have been plenty of hail reports near Colorado Springs, now the storm has 75 dBz. There could have been a tornado, but there are no reports.

This is west of Rockford and northeast of Davenport. I am not sure if these rotation area(s) are a tornado or not.

There's a new storm with up to 1" hail heading for downtown Denver.

possible tornado near Colorado Springs/ Palmer Divide

Interesting note for Raindancewx: Go look up this 1 hour long video of the sun. This video should have enough info to show nearly one complete cycle of sunspots. NASA released a truly epic video on Wednesday that compiles 10 years of the Solar Dynamics Observatory's views of our star.

I think there's a possibility for a damaging squall line in SW Michigan. This model run is not really an outlier or anything like that.

So, how do the 00z model runs change the outlook significantly?

My area had a brief rain shower last night, and today, we had a couple of thunderstorms (no hail.) Tomorrow, the Front Range may see some more areas of thunderstorms, with large hail as a possibility. It is nice that it's not totally dry recently. At least my area is getting close to average for rainfall, with, probably at least 1.52" for the month.

This squall line has already produced several severe wind reports in the last hour, and intensify to produce many more severe wind reports.

possible 2-3" hail with increasing rotation northeast of Great Bend, KS

Up to 7000 J/kg today, and it's only 1:00PM Central

I am a little surprised that they upgraded to moderate risk today (wind, hail only)