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Chinook

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Chinook

  1. observation from "South Marsh 268A" which is offshore from Marsh Island: wind 54 kt gusting to 68 kt, which means the gusts are over hurricane force. Texas Point, Sabine Pass TX (on land) - north wind 54 kt gusting to 63 kt.
  2. How do the great November storms correlate with ENSO? Nov 1913: El Nino! Nov 1940 (Armistice Day Storm): El Nino! Nov 1950: La Nina Nov 1966 (985 mb): possibly neutral Nov 1975 (Edmund Fitzgerald): La Nina Nov 2002 (tornado outbreak) El Nino Does anybody else have any thoughts about this?
  3. What if we run out of letters on the Greek alphabet for tropical storms? What if we retire Hurricane Delta? In the future, will we have to go directly from Tropical Storm Gamma to Tropical Storm Epsilon? It doesn't seem right, but if you aren't used to the Greek alphabet, it doesn't sound so bad.
  4. my personal observations since the firey times started AUG 2020 Aug 1: thunder in the area, evening light rain, 0.35" of rain Aug 2: trace of rain Aug 4: 0.04" of rain aug 7: very hot aug 14: Cameron Peak fire, smoke plume above aug 15: Cameron Peak fire, smoke plume above, and smells of smoke, reduced visibility aug 16: smells of smoke, reduced visibility aug 18: high of 98-99 degrees in Loveland aug 19: trace of rain, around 0.05" in Fort Collins aug 20: lightning in the area, around 0.05" in Fort Collins and up to 0.02" in south loveland (none here) aug 22: high of 95.4 here, 96-101 in Loveland. Smells of smoke in the morning, weird sky all day, smoke from california. aug 25: high 95-97 aug 26: trace of rain aug 28: 0.05" aug 29: 0.02", shelf cloud, wind gust to 25mph or 30mph, possibly brief lightning aug 31: 0.01" sprinkles, light rain AUG 2020 0.47" SEP 2020 Sep 5: high of 96-97, heavy smoke, ash fell from the sky Sep 6: high of 94-95 heavy smoke, ash fell from the sky Sep 7: heavy smoke for part of the day, ash fell from the sky. Low 70's here but 80's and 90's elsewhere Sep 7-8: 0.30" of rain/snow by morning. (little snow accumulation) Sep 8-9: 0.63" water equivalent of snow (and possibly rain), 2.8" (CoCoRAHS) (3.5" on car) sep 9-10: 0.03" water equivalent of snow sep 17: low visibility of 5-10 miles, perhaps a hint of smoke smell sep 26: smell of smoke, strange colors later in day. sep 30: smell of smoke early in the day, red sun later in the day (higher altitude smoke) SEP 2020: 0.96" OCT 2020 Oct 2: smell of smoke in the air. small amounts of ash fell from the sky. low visibility, 5 miles Oct 5: smell of smoke in the air. small amounts of ash fell from the sky. low visibility, 5-15 miles, red sun
  5. It's time for a new thread. Even though there is not too much precipitation in the forecast right now, I am sure we will be discussing mountain snows in just a few weeks. As for now, ensemble means show all the western areas having above normal temperatures until a trough comes into the Pacific NW on about Oct 10-11.
  6. The Front Range has been one of the warmest spots in the country, in these 14 days, well after the snowstorm
  7. I used to go through Florida OH, and Texas, OH on old US-24. They're unincorporated, or nearly so.
  8. Nevada, OH must be near Florida, OH, Texas, OH, Kansas, OH, Oregon, OH, Mexico, OH, North Baltimore, OH, and New Philadelphia, OH. Or maybe it's just close to Ohiowa, Nebraska.
  9. Our area cooled down a lot today. It's 50 degrees at Fort Collins. I thought the cooler air was coming in tomorrow, rather than today.
  10. Tonight is a nice clear night. I looked out at the moon, and it looks like Jupiter and Saturn are nearby. just saw this on twitter
  11. I have not posted for a while, since the weather has not done much here. In fact, it is possible that my area could be above normal for the month after having 42/32 on September 9th, which was very below average. I am sorry to hear that the fire is spreading toward Red Feather Lakes. That is a nice little place. This fire season has been awful. Edit: most of the trees in the neighborhood are still green, even though we had snow and 32 degrees. Several trees show some splotches of yellow leaves. The silver maple trees are a combination of green, yellow, and red, so I guess those ones are confused. A few trees have partially wilted leaves. NWS Boulder posted this on their web site:
  12. A little bit off topic here-- but when somebody tells you that they expect the weatherman to be right all the time... (Tropical Depression 20)
  13. I think I got 3-3.5" of snow on elevated surfaces, maybe 2.5" on the ground, 0.93+ on water equivalent. Some rain and drizzle occurred in a couple of time periods. There were some flakes even today.
  14. I'm pretty sure I got something like 1.2" -1.3" on the ground. Fort Collins has a spotter report of 4.7". The rain gauge at Fort Collins-CSU is up to 0.96" since it started. I think my place might have gotten 0.6" water equivalent.
  15. I think my place has 1". So far, I don't think any tree limbs will break. We are just getting out of a heavier band on radar-- there might not be so much left of this storm.
  16. They didn't have a unique color for a 57 degree temp drop
  17. I've got decent sized flakes. Maybe I could get 1" sometime after sunset, as surfaces cool down a bit.
  18. It seems like that batch of snow is just over to the west. I guess it could surprise people at 5:00PM, but hopefully this snow has made enough headlines that people pay attention.
  19. Snowfall and gusty winds are being reported in most of Wyoming right now.
  20. Today, the Cameron Peak Fire is up to 59000 acres, up from 21000 acres a couple of weeks ago, when most of the smoke went away. I think. The large smoke plume is going directly east over Fort Collins. In Loveland, we are at about 70 degrees with some orange-ish sunshine.
  21. Similar type of colors here- brownish clouds, sun looks red. You could almost stare at the sun, but still not recommended. At 5:00 or 6:00, it was as dark as a thunderstorm, with reddish horizon. I could post a picture, but I don't want to. my first GFS mega-snow post. I sincerely hope that there aren't too many trees broken, but it looks quite concerning. Like picking up tree branches after an ice storm.
  22. The surface smoke has come back - it smells more like campfire smoke than any day since the worst days of the High Park Fire.
  23. Yes, some bits of ash and 1/4 or 1/2" burnt pine needles fell from the sky for some time period last night. Today, that pyrocumulus is gone, but I guess it could come back. It looks like this month could be filled with things I've never seen before. This is from yesterday.
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