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roardog

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Everything posted by roardog

  1. Euro has been moving north the last couple of runs, at least over here. The 12Z run brings an ice storm to Toledo(around .4 inches of ice)and the far SE corner of Michigan, where as that area was mostly snow on the last run and all snow on the run before that.
  2. Over performer here. Ended up with about 6 inches. We have about 11 inches on the ground now.
  3. Brutal cutoff with this thing. I thought I might be on the wrong side of that cutoff with the way the short term models were looking but it's been snowing here since about 1:30, sometimes pretty hard. If you go about 20 miles south of here, there's been pretty much nothing.
  4. I like when you come in with accurate information that goes back further than the “cold” ‘60s and ‘70s.
  5. It looks like about a half inch of snow here. A real whopper of a storm.
  6. Yeah. A stronger and more organized storm would have given both of us freezing rain changing to rain. There was never really much chance of snow for either of us with this one.
  7. The 18z euro is the driest run yet here. It has .02 total precip for this “storm”. lol
  8. What’s worse to you, a winter like this one that has had its share of winter like cold but dry or a mild winter with the same amount of snow but not dry with a lot of cold rain?
  9. It only made it to 33 here. The snow cover remains. There has really only been a couple of small periods when there hasn’t been some snow cover here this winter. The longest being a few days at the end of last year/very beginning of this year.
  10. The second half of the month is starting to look like we could have some pretty strong high latitude blocking. So maybe we go back to cold and dry again?
  11. The entire east coast is warm on the Weatherbell February forecast. The cold is all in the western part of the country.
  12. You can have that garbage. lol. No rain up here and we still have a few inches of snow on the ground. I don’t think it’s made it any higher than the upper 30s here during the warm up.
  13. Yeah. I don’t know about calling snow in southern Illinois, Indiana and Ohio in January rare. lol
  14. Remember too we’re talking tenths of a degree with global temps. The planet isn’t so warm that you’re not going to get extreme cold in places. If the average was that warm, we would all be in big trouble.
  15. The winter up to this point has reminded me of a weak Nino type of pattern where you get the cold air but it’s dry. We’ve also had the southern snow like a Nino and when the warmth comes, it comes from westerly flow from a folding over PNA ridge. Obviously this is all about to change in the coming days
  16. It’s crazy how windy it’s been here today. Usually we need some kind of decent storm to get 50+ gusts. It’s even more unusual to get that with warm air advection.
  17. How warm was it in Chicago leading up to that storm? I think I remember reading it was well into the 50s here just a couple days before.
  18. Yeah, there should be some pretty significant ridging. There will probably some 60s at least up to central Illinois, Indiana and Ohio. At the same time, arctic air is going to constantly press into that ridge so there should be some big temp contrasts as well as possible ice storms in this pattern.
  19. I think this is the first time this winter Alek posted this. That's the sure sign of a cold, dry winter.
  20. The seasonal snowfall is meaningless when it comes to current depth unless you live in an area that never goes above freezing the entire winter. It was in the 50s with high dew points after Christmas. No snow cover was surviving that.
  21. You say that now but wait until there's a 50 degree rain that wipes out your snowpack in one day. lol
  22. Next week has the potential to have some real sunny and mild overachieving temp days south of the arctic boundary and maybe some decent over running snow just north of the boundary with some big temperature differences from SW to NE. It's just a matter of where the boundary sets up.
  23. Cold and dry is not something the midwest has seen in a winter month in a long time.
  24. About 3 inches here and it's still not quite done. Back up to about 6 inches on the ground with the bottom 3 inches being more like snow crust.
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