osfan24

Latest NAM seems like the cells out ahead are confined to near the bay while HRRR like the general metro areas.

That’s the problem with early dismissals. Do those cells pop or not?

Euro snow depth map seemed to do pretty well with this.

It absolutely ripped for an hour or so. Just amazing. Super fun event.

Kinda pulsing here between maybe mod snow and a flizzard. Gonna need that mod snow consistently to get the grass to cave at these temps.

Rain gauge didn’t even have 3/4 of an inch in it, so we can talk about temps and ratios and stickage, if even if all those things were good, the moisture just wasn’t there. Basically half what the GFS advertised.

It feels like the Euro and CMC were most right with the area of heaviest snow, but they were just too light on the totals within that area. Those models had the coastal Niña blizzard look. The GFS was first to lock onto the blizzard idea and had the right totals along the coast but was too bullish too far inland.

Except some people say you can’t mention Niña. Also shocked, shocked, the IVT was mostly a bust.

At least it looks like some of the totals are getting cut for some of those north of us. Philly probably not getting a HECS. Debatable for NYC now.

Rates are just so light. Have maybe an inch in like four hours.

Not that it really matters because this storm sucks for us either way given what is happening just northeast of us, but we are stuck between the band on the eastern shore and the IVT west of DC, so rates are pretty are pretty meh.

Looks like another three inches of slush and congrats everyone else. Almost like a movie I’ve seen before.

So slushy out. Very slippery. Lots of sirens in the distance.

Look at what is happening on radar out near Hagerstown. It’s not about the low cranking. It’s the positioning of it and the flow of moisture. It’s still moving toward places like Philly. Even if you look at that nice band on the bay, it’s basically stopped any westward movement, and is probably going to stall for a bit and then start pushing east.

Yeah, unless something suddenly changes, you can already see the pivot hitting a wall and just slightly edging east toward the coast.