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kat5hurricane

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Everything posted by kat5hurricane

  1. kat5hurricane
    Freezing rain. Car is glazed, wet and gross out there.
  2. kat5hurricane
    Light snow, it's like a Snow Globe out there. I'm about to take the dog out for a walk in about 15 minutes to revel in it.
  3. kat5hurricane
    Flurries just commenced in Whitestone.
  4. kat5hurricane
    I think this could be a bit of an overperformer just based on precedent. I've seen many times with these smaller events when the models beef up a bit at the last minute especially in a widespread event like this and the higher end totals verify. Of course there's a ceiling to this but I wouldn't be surprised to see some 4-5" totals somewhere.
  5. kat5hurricane
    Meh is a massive upgrade from what we've had the last few years. It's all about perspective.
  6. kat5hurricane
    Winter '14-'15 lite at least for one week.
  7. kat5hurricane
    Light snow and winds really whipping it around. It's pretty much white rain but considering these last 2 winters from hell, we take.
  8. kat5hurricane
    Not too far from LaGuardia, in Bayside right now, and the winds are shaking my car. I wouldn't be surprised if there were some 50+ mph gusts mixed in there. Seems windier than the last more hyped system.
  9. kat5hurricane
    Throwing in the towel on a storm 4-5 days from now based on 18z runs and the nam is the peak of Weenieism.
  10. kat5hurricane
    Just a conventional run of the mill squall line in the middle of January. Happy 21st Birthday btw
  11. kat5hurricane
    Pretty run of the mill here, the rain is the bigger story thus far.
  12. kat5hurricane
    Isaias. That storm was the real deal, most damage in my area outside of Sandy. You don't see too many High Wind Warnings with generally conservative services calling for 50-65 mph gusts so this should be taken seriously.
  13. kat5hurricane
    Pictureesque snow falling now. Big flakes, no wind. Not accumulating but pretty to look at.
  14. kat5hurricane
    Lucky you, us North Shore folks usually align pretty closely with the rain/snow line in these marginal situations. Still rain here after the initial burst of snow with wind now picking up.
  15. kat5hurricane
    Just headed out to see a couple of inches of slop on my car and still snowing moderately with big fat beautiful snowflakes. I'm surprised tbh.
  16. kat5hurricane
    Snowing moderately in Whitestone, only sticking to colder surfaces but nice to see snow falling regardless.
  17. kat5hurricane
    Just reading through it now. What a thrill ride that was from the hopelessness of 12/23 to complete weather porn on 12/24. I was just lurking back then but it was exhilarating reliving that thread and interesting that it was the GFS leading the EURO on the trend back west back in the days when Euro truly was King.
  18. kat5hurricane
    A lot of us were saying that this wasn't a snow event for the coast for days now. It was a Hail Mary attempt essentially with how marginal the setup is.
  19. kat5hurricane
    The nam hasn't come back from lunch in many many years.
  20. kat5hurricane
    I think you were really young at the time but the Jan. 1996 Blizzard was mostly a Mid Atlantic storm until literally the day before then made that 50-75 mile north bump that got everybody in the game. Boxing Day looked dead in the water only a few days before then bumped north and so many more.
  21. kat5hurricane
    I said this like 3-4 days ago. Never underestimate the SE Ridge. Most of the great storms of the past, for the coast especially, were suppressed initially and bumped N the few days before. Add in that this is a marginal setup and it was a longshot for anybody near the coast.
  22. kat5hurricane
    Thread the needle, marginal, situations like this rarely pan out for those near the coast. I think anywhere north of the Tappan Zee is the spot to be for this one but... subject to change of course.
  23. kat5hurricane
    Exactly. We've all been through this before and we know how it usually ends. This is in all likelihood an interior snowstorm, these marginal threats usually favor the interior. This isn't exactly a storm cancel based on nothing, it's a pattern recognition and following historical trends. It doesn't mean that a favorable change can't occur however but it's a longshot for anything significant at the coast.
  24. kat5hurricane
    Usually when the models lock on a north trend, it doesn't wobble the other way in a significant manner. Never underestimate the SE Ridge. This is why I always like our chances (at the coast) better when the models are showing a more suppressed look 4-5 days out.
  25. kat5hurricane
    I'd take suppression at this range over inland runner ten times out of ten. Most of our great storms of the past at the coast in particular trending north at the last minute.
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