Silas Lang
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Everything posted by Silas Lang
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like some big overrunning potential still showing up on the GFS.- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ah, forget about snow days, schools will be getting some flood days instead. Reminds me of February a few years ago, forget which one, but it was rain, rain, rain.- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
The 6z GFS has the storm from the 18z (Jan 29), just a bit further east. It was gone on the 0z run. Another period to watch.- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Real nice look. Great storm track with the classic low on the gulf coast to atlantic coast track.- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hopefully the cold pattern materializes and actually happens. I swear, outside of 5 days, the models show a different solution everytime. Maybe that's a sign they are struggling with an upcoming pattern change?- 923 replies
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Had a nice snow burst earlier when I was outside in the jacuzzi, living the dream with a nice beverage in hand. Still snowing lightly, but looks to be winding down. Not much, but will probably end this with a solid dusting. Hey, that's pretty great for the central valley in a NWF event. I can't complain as that's an over performer considering the situation. Any reports from Johnson City? That was the best location I have lived in for these types of events. Seems like we could squeeze out an inch, which is feasting for NWF in the valley.
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It looks like the RGEM is picking up the "streamers" a bit better than the NAM, which shows no real evidence of them on the snow maps. Now, even if the RGEM is correct on some streamers bursting through the valley, where they set up is anyone's guess. Places could get blanked, while others could get a dusting to an inch. These things are very hard to predict. NAM seems convinced this is a typical elevation event.
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Wow, a tornado warning has been issued for Jefferson County. Stay safe, folks. Pretty intense storms so far.
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I don't know how much this plays a part, but it seems pretty common to get a storm on MLK day weekend. We had snow on the ground last year at this time.- 923 replies
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Yup. I just took the dog for a walk at Adair Park and ran into a few back roads that looked the same. We got up to the 47 here yesterday with sun and still have a lot of snow in spots. I guess this is the result of having the ground so cold. Pretty impressive as this snow was pretty light and fluffy. I expected it to melt quickly.
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Good lord, this is even more concerning. I would have expected at least 50% more that way. Seriously, what's going on? -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Can someone smarter than me please explain why we have so much snow in the valley? Trying to understand what's at work here. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, roads are bad. Even well travelled Clinton Highway and Merchants were bad an hour ago. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Got over an inch here in Knox. Still coming down. Most impressive clipper in years that I can remember. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yup. Already have a thick dusting here in Knoxville. lol of course the clipper brings more snow than the big historic front. Further proof that big storms and events are not as good as little ones most of the time in the valley. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Pretty interesting evolution on the NAM. Don't think I have seen a clipper redevelop in the valley before. Plateau usually kills it for us. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, today was nice in comparison to yesterday. Cold, but manageable with the sun. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Woke up to some light powder on the deck and some very light, fine flakes flying around. Low was 3 last night. The temp has already tripled to 9! lol -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Tomorrow is going to feel warm compared to today. Brutal cold. High of 9 here. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Radar not looking too hot now. Still wondering about that low level moisture. Any observations? Is it snowing in places where nothing is showing on radar? -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
I know we are pretty much in a now casting scenario, but the NAM looked better for everyone. Last 3 runs. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like the front is moving a tick faster on modeling. For example, the HRRR now has Knoxville below freezing at 12 instead of 1. I think that's been the trend everywhere? -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
That's my guess. Downsloping. Seems pretty consistent with topography. Counties directly bordering the plateau to the east get the worst shaft. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like the cold air is a lot slower to get here on the RGEM as well.