Silas Lang
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Everything posted by Silas Lang
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
We usually don't get much ice. Rain or snow for the most part here in the valley. When was the last one? Anyone have the storm thread? And is that a legit possiblity with this air mass?- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Euro is nasty for the east. .25 ice, .50 sleet and .5 inch of snow. Then days below freezing with frigid temps. That would be some crusty gunk.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Good runs last night. GFS kept MLK storm and Euro supports it. And the 0z Canadian at least tried.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Smart move. There have been times I have not been forecasted for wind and I have received large gust. There are also times when the opposite occured. Wind is tough to predict here (as is weather in general) due to the hills, ridges, and general landscape. I have a friend who lives on a hill and it is always breezy. It's like being on the beach. lol Bet he gets some stout gusts tonight and tomorrow, even if I get nada. Better safe than sorry, and I don't think the general public will really notice if it doesn't pan out. Good call.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Seems like it almost always happens after a super cold air mass. It's not on the latest GFS, but it seems to be fairly common. Anyone know why that's the case?- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Man, Tuesday looks to be intense. Up to 2 inches of rain in spots and the wind. It is like a hurricane higher up! Anyway, I am not a severe weather guy, but can we can expect any lightning? Not really sure how to look for that.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Pretty par for the course the past few years. Lots of 30s and rain in the valley while the Plateau west cleans house. It's like we are stuck in that Nina pattern.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
That system on Tuesday looks to be real stout. Lots of rain and wind. Even noticed models have increased the backside flurries and snow showers. Does anyone think the models will get a better read of the 7+ day cold/snow chances after Tuesday? I know big storms usually lead to big changes.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, maybe cave was too strong, but it looked like an improvement on the surface from the 0z run at least.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Runs not over, but it looks like the Euro is caving towards the GFS as well. Good trends overall today if you want snow.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Obviously nothing is set in stone, but it is hard to not love the trend on the GFS for the post MLK day storm. Still a long ways to go, but man, models have typically been all over the place, especially this far out. The consistency is extremely alluring. Talk me back guys.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
My memory is blurry, but which winter was it when we last had some back to back storms? 2015, 2014, 2013? Sort of reminds me of that. I was in Johnson City at the time and it seemed like there was a year when I was at ETSU where there were a few big events with some small upslope, snow shower stuff peppered in between. Probably the last "great" snow winter I experienced.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I don't know which year it was exactly, but my dad was dating my mom in 78 and 79 and remembers it snowed almost every Thursday that winter. It was his off day and their date night. He had to walk and got stuck on the highway many a time. lol He talks about those winters often. That was in Anderson County.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Don't worry, it will continue to be different each run. lol- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Finally. I am not focused on one particular storm at this point, but the past few runs keep showing some big winter storms. It feels like it has been years since I have even seen model fantasy stuff look this active. Definitely a good sign.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I am really sorry to hear about that man. I know it's rough. Had a similar situation last year right after our first son was born. Words can't express enough. I hope your wife has a speedy recovery.- 1,263 replies
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Yeah, models seem way off for this little system. Surprised no one is talking about this or interested. I know there are bigger potential opportunities (or busts) ahead, but I will take whatever 3 flakes I can get. lol
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Any reports of snow from that moisture currently on radar? Assuming it's not reaching the ground, but thought I would ask.
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like the last NAM run was pretty good for the north valley (TRI) tomorrow. Almost looks like some moisture funnels right up the valley? Interesting. Probably won't be much more than a dusting or so due to the temps.- 1,263 replies
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Thanks everyone for the suggestions. If it was not obvious, this was a bust of a little event. I spent the day on the plateau (mostly in Cumberland County) and saw a few flakes, but just nothing ever got going. Even the Cumberland mountains looked blanked. But man, it looked like it really wanted to snow all day. The clouds and temps were perfect. Just no moisture or juice. Oh well! -
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, I was thinking somewhere around that way. I know exactly where you are talking about. nWS says best chance of snow showers is Friday morning for that area, though the latest trends seem to show PM. Is there something they are seeing that I am not? Now just need to get the timing down. -
December 2023 Mid/Long Term Pattern Discussion: Let it Snow!
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Weird, as usually the 12k is more robust due to lower resolution, but it's the opposite this time. From the looks of this, most in Tennessee will at least see some flurries or a snow shower sans the Southern valley.- 548 replies
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hmm looking at that chart from Nashville, looks like Cumberland county towards Crossville would be pretty easy? Take 40 and hit the highway? Again, for someone who has never seen snow, just it falling with some white grass is enough. Odds that area is a good hit? Don't know how they typically do in these set ups. -
December 2023 Mid/Long Term Pattern Discussion: Let it Snow!
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, it is still raining here in Knox. Not even on the radar. Just a fine steady mist/light rain. If only we could ever get this to happen with snow!- 548 replies
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