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Silas Lang

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Everything posted by Silas Lang

  1. Silas Lang
    lol yeah, I was just looking at the map on weatherbell and saw the same. A much more reasonable expectation. If I can just get an inch, I will claim victory. Anyway, to get an idea of how wet this system here is the precipitation map. Looks like Blount, Sevier, and Cocke have a lot of potential. 2 inches of water to work with, though I assume the ratios are low? Less than 10?
  2. Silas Lang
    I know there is probably a lot of melt and this is with marginal temps, but that's a straight up paste bomb. Goodness the mountains and foothills look to clean up on this run.
  3. Silas Lang
    Top is 12z and bottom is 18z for comparison. The latest run gets a little more of the plateau involved.
  4. Silas Lang
    Well there is a bit of a lower precipitation total near JC on that run. That's a possibility. I know these set ups are rate driven. I think Powell mentioned it this morning that the models sometimes struggle picking up the dynamic cooling aspect of these storms. That could be a possibility as well. Or maybe we just get cold rain. lol
  5. Silas Lang
    NAM shows some mixing and thermal issues. Pretty weird looking clown map. Suggests most go from snow to rain. Just weird to see TRI blanked when the Euro has it getting crushed. Any thoughts?
  6. Silas Lang
    Where has he been? I miss his posts. He usually provides some good historical analysis when looking at potential systems.
  7. Silas Lang
    Seems like this thing is trending slower as well. Wonder if we could trend to a more ideal period of snow on Sunday night as opposed to the day time?
  8. Silas Lang
    NAM took a huge step towards the Euro. Way more west.
  9. Silas Lang
    Maybe it's somewhere in the middle? Seems the models have done that a lot this winter. Two different solutions with a slow trend towards each other.
  10. Silas Lang
    Yeah, agreed. When you look at that Canadian run it looks like most of the east gets under heavy precipitation, but most shows up as rain.
  11. Silas Lang
    Canadian is a beautiful rainstorm with a weird southern plateau jackpot of snow.
  12. Silas Lang
    Will say, at a quick glance it did seem warmer though. Very close temps. Like any closer and this will be a monsoon. lol
  13. Silas Lang
    A tick back to the west on the GFS. TRI and the mountains would love that outcome. Pretty steep cutoff. Wouldn't take a lot to get more people involved.
  14. Silas Lang
    Well 18z Euro was more West and the 0z NAM is more East. Where will the GFS go? This is going to be rough couple of days. Would rather be too far NW at the moment if I had to choose.
  15. Silas Lang
    Got love the timing of this thing for us at this juncture. Marginal temps, but middle of the night with potentially heavy rates could make all the difference. You get something on the ground before daybreak and it could help tremendously with accumulation.
  16. Silas Lang
    Do we want the storm to become stronger to pull more west? What is the mechanism that keeps it towards TN and not too far east?
  17. Silas Lang
    Yeah, if I get an inch I will be happy. Any more is gravy. It is also fun to watch as these systems can puke snow.
  18. Silas Lang
    I'm afraid to even talk about it. lol If we get a few more runs like this, I do want someone to make a thread. I like having them for historical purposes, boom or bust.
  19. Silas Lang
    Anyone have any current observations?
  20. Silas Lang
    Yeah, I am curious too. I looked at the upper air temp maps, and they look pretty good for everyone, but there must be a warm layer for the valley. Don't have access at the moment, but could you put up a sounding for Knoxville?
  21. Silas Lang
    Man, why ain't more people posting? Was hoping to see some reports! Pics? Observations?
  22. Silas Lang
    Not really. Even if temps do get below freezing, it would barely get there, and for a short period of time at that. With warm ground temps, I don't think it would really be eventful regardless. This is a West and Middle TN event.
  23. Silas Lang
    Well, a guess a large group of posters in the east aren't too thrilled with a week of cold rain. To be fair, it is a gross, nasty, 40 degree rain. Just a bleak affair here, the grass is practically mud. There are still a few here posting though!
  24. Silas Lang
    Yeah, that's what I thought. The cold is definitely pressing. Tuesday into Wednesday it even suggests temps of around 34 in the central valley. The NAM looks to be similar. Still, doubt it based on prior events. It's close though.
  25. Silas Lang
    Probably the plateau?
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