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Silas Lang

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Everything posted by Silas Lang

  1. I do wonder about QPF too. Every system has been underdone here lately. An extra .20 inch of liquid could be a huge deal with this air mass and result in several more inches of snow.
  2. Haha no worries! I just wanted to look for myself and noticed that the precipitation seems to be pretty much 10 to 1 or a little better. Wondering if with the cold air if we could squeeze some more out of it.
  3. Actually QPF is up a bit. And looking at it versus snowfall, I actually have to wonder if the snow is under modeled. Looks like precipitation to snow on maps is roughly showing up as 10 to 1 ratio, even on the kuchera maps.
  4. Pretty big threat if they are posting graphics suggesting two inches in the valley this far out.
  5. Yeah, I just want to see something similar and it is starting to look like it is falling in line, despite the QPF. It looks way better than the 12z yesterday.
  6. So it looks like the Euro caved for the first part of the storm, but doesn't really get a coastal going like the other models. To me it looks like Euro is catching up to everyone else.
  7. I am just starting to come to the realization that this could potentially happen... We are almost with the 3 day mark. Short range models are picking it up now. The storm today will be out of the way tonight and we should start having the energy sampled properly on the West Coast. If we can stay locked in today and tomorrow, we could have something historic.
  8. Euro took a NW jog of about 50 miles. Big difference in results. And the storm is not even finished at 90 hours. Man, that makes me feel better about this. It's coming more in line with other guidance.
  9. 6z GFS looks close to delivering next Friday. Big improvement over 0z.
  10. Let's all appreciate this possible solution. Think everyone would be happy with this!
  11. This weather could be historic regardless of snow. I don't know what the record is for staying below freezing is in Tennessee, but I have think what the GFS is showing is a pretty big deal. I can remember maybe 3 days below freezing in a row. Nuts what is being advertised. We are not ready or equipped for this!
  12. Yup, it was on the GFS and CMC. Didn't pop on GFS, but man, the potential is there. Would be insane to have a chance to score snow on snow.
  13. At this point I would rather take my chances with the moisture a la the CMC. I think the cold air will be legit. The Euro was anemic on moisture, which is my worst fear: cold and dry.
  14. Honestly looks like an in between of the 18z GFS and 12z Euro, clown map wise.
  15. If anyone is interested in extrapolating from 84 hours on the RGEM, here ya go. lol
  16. It at least still shows a push to the east as well, suggesting we get in on some of the initial action. Though it does look like some downsloping is evident, especially in the southern valley.
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