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Silas Lang

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Everything posted by Silas Lang

  1. Silas Lang
    Just wanted to say, I love these posts about little micro features.
  2. Silas Lang
    Had some lightning here this evening as well sometime around 5pm. Took me by surprise honestly as I had to think for a second as I was looking out the window when it happened. lol Pretty unexpected!
  3. Silas Lang
    Not really. Just an observation.
  4. Silas Lang
    Annnddd the 18z looking totally different. lol
  5. Silas Lang
    Huge improvement. Not a hit, but I would take it this far out anyway. Way better than the cold rain look we had been seeing. The ingredients are at least there on the 12z run.
  6. Silas Lang
    I don't know what maps Pivotal weather shows, but the kuchera ratio is a bit lower on totals. The southern edge of precip has some sleet and freezing rain mixed in in eastern areas. Seems there is a warm layer around 700mb on the 0z run. Pretty weird, as it is a pretty stout cold elsewhere. Interestingly enough, the 06z GFS has a better low placement, but weaker cold air. That said, still way too far out to worry about the finer details. We now have a couple of runs showing a signal. The Euro and Canadian should be in range tonight. Curious to see if they support this setup.
  7. Silas Lang
    Pretty annoyed to see the NCAA is looking into UT for NIL. That organization is an absolute joke. Hope the university (along with others) sues them to oblivion.
  8. Silas Lang
    I was about to say, finally some real cold looked to filter down at the end of that run. When it's raining in Minnesota, it's hard to get snow here. lol I know it's the GFS at 384, but it lines up with what some of y'all of been saying about mid February onward and opportunities.
  9. Silas Lang
    Yeah, now that you mention it, I seem to remember this happening a few years ago. I was thinking "there is no way that low travels due north"...and it very well did! lol Wasn't there another one last year (maybe the year before) where the low travelled straight into the mountains? Regardless, I don't like energy transfers. Hope it stays a simple Gulf low for all of us.
  10. Silas Lang
    And the CMC is...something. Takes the Gulf low due north to Nashville then transfers to Asheville then finally goes to the coast with another low popping off the coast of GA at the end. Sort of crazy look all over the place. EDIT: to be clear, this about the storm potential on the 5th.
  11. Silas Lang
    12z GFS interesting. Flirting with something big on the 5th.
  12. Silas Lang
    The Cumberland mountains look like they are getting hammered. Hard to see through the clouds, but looks like areas over 2500 feet or so are white.
  13. Silas Lang
    Man, that is weird about the grass. Was noticing today that mine looks way greener than before the snow. Does all that moisture from the snow and protection from bitter cold with snowpack, help the grass or something? And about the models struggling with all the niña data, the snowstorm we just experienced was modeled as a cutter, similar to the past couple of years until they finally settled on what we got, more or less.
  14. Silas Lang
    Yeah, the GFS has the same storm, but sends it out to sea. The Euro is a little confusing with low pressure popping up everywhere. Some potential in the time period for sure!
  15. Silas Lang
    Same here. Pretty crazy. Got a fresh coat. I can't see the yellow spots from the dog! lol
  16. Silas Lang
    Man it is really coming down now. A stout NWF for the valley.
  17. Silas Lang
    Some flurries/ light snow. Already got a dusting on top of the ice. 32 now. Looking at thermometer it hovered between 30 to 33 last night. It's a mess.
  18. Silas Lang
    Disappointed to say that I have had a couple of brief showers of freezing rain. It wasn't a downpour, but the drops were heavy and it was a moderate rainfall. I expected drizzle or maybe light rain briefly, but this is more than I anticipated. I have had drizzle in between the moderate showers. I heard what sounded like a brief period of sleet. It's nasty out. I have no idea how to measure ice, but it is a much thicker than a light glaze. Dog slipped going out. It has consistently been 31, but I am sure the ground is much colder. A cool little element from this weather is due to some melting from sun in cold temps and the freezing rain, I have some rather sick looking icicles hanging off the house. I swear one of them is closing in on 3 feet. Gonna have to measure tomorrow. Anyway, stay safe y'all.
  19. Silas Lang
    Is Knox getting dry slotted? I am 100% okay with this. Have a had a little drizzle and melt from sun today so I already have enough ice!
  20. Silas Lang
    It really is worse for it to be light. When I lived in Asheville, new years eve 2017, it sprinkled for maybe 5 or 10 minutes? But the temps has been cold and it instantly made the roads treacherous. I had to walk home five miles because I almost died driving and just decided to park the truck, wasn't worth it. Numerous wrecks, stalled traffic, terrible all around and all over like .01 inch of freezing rain. Worst part was you couldn't even see any ice. But my truck certainly felt it. Needless to say, one of the few new years I spent alone. lol
  21. Silas Lang
    A bit off topic, but it drives me nuts how TYS is "Knoxville." It was the same when I lived in Johnson City and "TRI" was the official record. Honestly that one is worse because Bristol, Kingsport, and JC all can have vastly different conditions. It was even similar when I lived in Asheville and "AVL" was very similar to "TYS" where the airport is well south of the city proper and would get blanked at times the city would get a couple of inches. I mean, how hard is it to have an official record for towns and cities? Drives me nuts. Should be easier than ever with tech too.
  22. Silas Lang
    RGEM trend
  23. Silas Lang
    My fears look like they are coming to fruition. Ice, ice baby. Oddly enough, the RGEM is actually trending the snow line into the central valley with limited ice the past couple of runs. Curious to see if the 12z holds. I want that solution to be correct! lol
  24. Silas Lang
    My thing is, I think we can easily stay below freezing at the surface, but we still get rain. It will just be freezing rain. A little warm air up high is not impacted by the ground. Maybe best case, there is lower level cold that keeps it sleet or something? I don't know. Just worried about the impacts of this rain on 9 inches of snow. I would love snow instead!
  25. Silas Lang
    RGEM is persistent. Also been the best with temps, for me at least. It shows a chilly upper 20s in the early morning hours with rain for the central valley. Temp profiles seem to highlight snowpack fairly well.
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