Silas Lang
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Everything posted by Silas Lang
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January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I like this. Acknowledged the threat and pretty transparent. 2" is a "good" snow for me, so if I can get that, I am satisfied. Of course, more is always welcome! Haha -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Thanks for this. I hope there is a way we can all score here. Anyone have any recent examples of similar storms? Just want to know what "success" would look like or if it is even possible or likely. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Anyone have any thoughts on the 18z Euro? I know it doesn't go out far, but curious if it looked better for us. I am not good at reading those vort maps, so I can't really tell. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Man, that looks tasty. Something like that looks like it could nail the whole state pretty well, including Chattanooga. I am nervous about that second wave approach that 18z GFS advertised for the East. Would much rather get involved in the initial wave (like the RGEM shows) and go from there. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I don't know. Euro looks pretty odd. I don't think it will be the ultimate solution, but certainly a possibility I guess. Still, one would have to think that even with limited precipitation, the snow totals would be higher. That is some cold air and will squeeze ever drop out. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Phew. Looks more and more likely the state will be crippled with cold and some kind of frozen precipitation. How much seems to be the question now. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah stronger push from the artic air this run. A jog south and east. -
January 15th-17th 2024 Arctic Blast/Snow Event
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Also, hasn't the Euro been under performing on precipitation this season so far? With this last storm I was projected to get around 1.5 inches of rain and ended up with 2.5. One can only hope that trend continues next week. -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
This is why I was a bit confused at the 0z GFS run yesterday. That super frigid air meeting the warm Gulf has to result in something, right?- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like we are back in business with 0z Euro and 6z GFS. Both seem to string out the moisture a bit.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I don't know. Maybe this when we lose it, and then it finds a way back.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not pretty for East Tennessee. Man, the Canadian looks nice and then just dies. Don't get it either, as unlike the GFS, it seems to have a Gulf low. Models having trouble with energy transfer or something? GFS pops a low off the coast, albeit too late. Luckily there is still time and it looks like big changes up high. But not staying up for the Euro. lol- 1,263 replies
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Fair enough. I am the opposite. I don't follow basketball much, aside from the odd game, but in football, I would much rather be competitive and relevant, even if we don't always win the big ones. For me it's nice going into games knowing we at least stand a chance. Heupel has been great at UT. Excited for the Nico era! -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Oof, the 18z GFS. Is this essentially the part where we lose the storm? Timing is about right.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Interesting changes today. Almost feels like the models/ensembles want to give us snow, but still don't know exactly how it will happen, if that makes sense.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
What does this look imply? Sorry not good at reading these maps.- 1,263 replies
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37 now and saw some flakes, though rain is probably mixed in. Hard to tell due to the wind and small size.
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I hope not,but having lived up there for several years, it can definitely get the short end in these scenarios. On the flip side, they can sometimes score when no one else can. They are overdue for that honestly.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Canadian looks almost identical to GFS. Now we need the Euro...- 1,263 replies
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40 and looks like rain here in Fountain City.
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah,my folks in Anderson County had about 1.5 inches. We stayed over for Christmas and driving back it was weird seeing it get snowier as we went east. Pretty tight gradient. I had about 5 inches in Fountain City.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Didn't see this, but pretty much what I was wondering as well.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Agreed. And I think it's important to match expectations with location. Living in the central valley, if I can get 2 inches, I am content. Everything else is gravy. Which speaking of totals, I was looking at upper air temps and temps ( on the GFS) and it will be really cold. I assume this stuff will be very high ratio? Shouldn't take a lot of moisture if that's the case, and could easily over perform.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Snow or no snow, models seem in agreement that it will be COLD next week. Also, as an aside, this is probably the most fun I have had tracking since the March snow in 22. Been too long, gents. This winter has already been more interesting than last year even if it doesn't pan out. lol- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Silas Lang replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah the cold definitely seems to be coming regardless. Hope it ain't with a bunch of ice. Would be a mess for days if that was the case.- 1,263 replies