Silas Lang
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Everything posted by Silas Lang
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, roads are bad. Even well travelled Clinton Highway and Merchants were bad an hour ago. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Got over an inch here in Knox. Still coming down. Most impressive clipper in years that I can remember. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yup. Already have a thick dusting here in Knoxville. lol of course the clipper brings more snow than the big historic front. Further proof that big storms and events are not as good as little ones most of the time in the valley. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Pretty interesting evolution on the NAM. Don't think I have seen a clipper redevelop in the valley before. Plateau usually kills it for us. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, today was nice in comparison to yesterday. Cold, but manageable with the sun. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Woke up to some light powder on the deck and some very light, fine flakes flying around. Low was 3 last night. The temp has already tripled to 9! lol -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Tomorrow is going to feel warm compared to today. Brutal cold. High of 9 here. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Radar not looking too hot now. Still wondering about that low level moisture. Any observations? Is it snowing in places where nothing is showing on radar? -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
I know we are pretty much in a now casting scenario, but the NAM looked better for everyone. Last 3 runs. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like the front is moving a tick faster on modeling. For example, the HRRR now has Knoxville below freezing at 12 instead of 1. I think that's been the trend everywhere? -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
That's my guess. Downsloping. Seems pretty consistent with topography. Counties directly bordering the plateau to the east get the worst shaft. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like the cold air is a lot slower to get here on the RGEM as well. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
It would be nice for this to hold steady or trend better. Really don't think this will be a huge snow event, but I would be ecstatic with 1 to 2 inches like the GFS was showing. I don't think the ceiling is much higher for most as that would take some major adjustments with the storm path. Guess we just got to hope the cold is as fast as advertised. That doesn't always work out, but it's a possibility. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Actually not a bad GFS run. Snow totals were up. It looks like the cold is coming faster if you look at the trends. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
This is a good point. Regardless of how much snow we actually get, there should definitely be some lingering showers and flurries. It will definitely be a good winter day in the least. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
The LP is in Illinois on this run. It's going to be in Nebraska at this rate. lol -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Some runs have had little waves of snow after the big system. Honestly could pick up a quick inch or two if we get something small with the cold temps. I remember one little wave after a big storm several years ago where I got a random 3 or 4 inches of snow. Something to watch for sure. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, unless something major changes, I think eastern areas are out. It could still trend better for the west and maybe middle TN. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, it's a shame as the GFS did really well last winter. Looks like Euro will win this one. May be the better model for this winter/pattern. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
GFS super amped and wound up storm. Ends up cutting further west. Looking at a statewide dusting on the backend of this thing now. lol -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
That would be awful with the cold temps following. I do think we might have to be concerned with flash freezing if the cold comes in as quickly as modeled.- 582 replies
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December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
If I am remembering correctly, I think March is even typically better than December for snow.- 582 replies
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Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like a back end mood flake setup for the valley. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Less cutting and more coastal this go around -
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
WHY ARE WE YELLING? But, seriously this account just took the 6z GFS run and stated it as a forecast. Which is the problem with these accounts.
