Silas Lang
Members-
Posts
696 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by Silas Lang
-
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
It would be nice for this to hold steady or trend better. Really don't think this will be a huge snow event, but I would be ecstatic with 1 to 2 inches like the GFS was showing. I don't think the ceiling is much higher for most as that would take some major adjustments with the storm path. Guess we just got to hope the cold is as fast as advertised. That doesn't always work out, but it's a possibility. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Actually not a bad GFS run. Snow totals were up. It looks like the cold is coming faster if you look at the trends. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
This is a good point. Regardless of how much snow we actually get, there should definitely be some lingering showers and flurries. It will definitely be a good winter day in the least. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
The LP is in Illinois on this run. It's going to be in Nebraska at this rate. lol -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Some runs have had little waves of snow after the big system. Honestly could pick up a quick inch or two if we get something small with the cold temps. I remember one little wave after a big storm several years ago where I got a random 3 or 4 inches of snow. Something to watch for sure. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, unless something major changes, I think eastern areas are out. It could still trend better for the west and maybe middle TN. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, it's a shame as the GFS did really well last winter. Looks like Euro will win this one. May be the better model for this winter/pattern. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
GFS super amped and wound up storm. Ends up cutting further west. Looking at a statewide dusting on the backend of this thing now. lol -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
That would be awful with the cold temps following. I do think we might have to be concerned with flash freezing if the cold comes in as quickly as modeled.- 582 replies
-
- snow
- freezing rain
-
(and 4 more)
Tagged with:
-
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
If I am remembering correctly, I think March is even typically better than December for snow.- 582 replies
-
- 1
-
- snow
- freezing rain
-
(and 4 more)
Tagged with:
-
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Looks like a back end mood flake setup for the valley. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Less cutting and more coastal this go around -
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
Silas Lang replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
WHY ARE WE YELLING? But, seriously this account just took the 6z GFS run and stated it as a forecast. Which is the problem with these accounts. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Agreed on having the thread. Boom or bust, it is nice to have to reference. Besides, not like we get many shots some years. May as well enjoy what we get...or don't get! -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
Latest GFS was much better for West and Middle TN. A little concerning for the valley with the LP sitting right on top of it at one point. Still managed to get most of the state. Storm more wound up. Seems like it took a step towards the Euro/CMC. Not a good trend, imo as the storm could end up cutting more if it continues. -
Historic Christmas Cold & maybe snow?! Dec 23rd-30th
Silas Lang replied to Wurbus's topic in Tennessee Valley
The GFS has scored some wins the past year or so since the major upgrade, correct? Maybe I am remembering it wrong, but I swear it has seemed more consistent for the past couple of big winter storms. -
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
My only concern is that systems get crushed by the cold. Is that a possibility? Or are there other dynamics at play from preventing that outcome?- 582 replies
-
- 1
-
- snow
- freezing rain
-
(and 4 more)
Tagged with:
-
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Obviously one run, but this would have to be a record week for East TN if it did occur. Just nuts. While I don't expect this to come to fruition, I do think this does highlight that we have a genuine shot of a great couple of weeks of winter. And yeah, not overrunning, but not sure what you call those events that happen after Christmas. I think I will just go with amazing. lol- 582 replies
-
- 1
-
- snow
- freezing rain
-
(and 4 more)
Tagged with:
-
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
- 582 replies
-
- 8
-
- snow
- freezing rain
-
(and 4 more)
Tagged with:
-
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Another big hit!- 582 replies
-
- 6
-
- snow
- freezing rain
-
(and 4 more)
Tagged with:
-
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Goodness, I didn't get a chance to check the rest of that GFS until now. Bone chilling temps and some snow showers and another storm trying to pop ( a little late for us) on the 27th. It is below freezing for almost a week as well.- 582 replies
-
- 2
-
- snow
- freezing rain
-
(and 4 more)
Tagged with:
-
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, I noticed that wave holding together a little better as well. Need to keep an eye on it. Would be nice to get some snow on snow with the Christmas Eve storm as well. I can't remember how long it has been since we have had snow fall on snow in the valley. Maybe 2013 or 2014?- 582 replies
-
- 4
-
- snow
- freezing rain
-
(and 4 more)
Tagged with:
-
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
There was also a pretty tight East to West gradient for this storm as well. I stayed at my folks in Anderson County and they got about 2 inches while the totals got higher as drove back to my place in Knox. We had 5 inches at the house. That was pretty surprising.- 582 replies
-
- 3
-
- snow
- freezing rain
-
(and 4 more)
Tagged with:
-
December 2022 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
Silas Lang replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Well, this pattern is certainly ripe for some surprises. I've been caught up with the Christmas period and the 18z GFS says, what about next week instead? Seriously seems like something could easily pop up in a few days notice. Not too concerned about details as it seems to be in flux from run to run. Hopefully we can all score the next couple of weeks!- 582 replies
-
- 3
-
- snow
- freezing rain
-
(and 4 more)
Tagged with:
-
Yeah, it has been nonstop flashbulbs. Coming up on 3 inches of water. Real impressive storm. My yard is a lake. And it looks like there is a stout line coming in behind it. You should be seeing that soon. What is the cause of this? The flow? Like the opposite of a rain shadow or something.