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Silas Lang

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  1. Silas Lang
    Same. Mountains and some upper Plateau areas can score later, but it typically ends up as a cold rain here. Not really interested in that. If it is going to rain, then I at least want it warmer.
  2. Silas Lang
    I appreciate this post. And LOL at the last part. On the NOCA, yeah, not feeling too interested in winter for the foreseeable future due how things have been trending. I do like that about this forum; not a whole lot of cliff diving. We all just tend to quietly walk away. Anyway could feel the front blowing in today as it got cooler. Sitting at 40 here now.
  3. Silas Lang
    Looks like we are trending towards mostly cloudy in regards to the weekend system. Snow chances went poof on most models today.
  4. Silas Lang
    I will take that analogue in a heartbeat. Looks like a wide spread 2 to 4 inch event in East TN according to the thread.
  5. Silas Lang
    Ah okay, that makes it easier to visualize as I feel like we have seen that set-up dozens of times the past few years here in the east. lol Do you know of any historical events that gave us snow here in the east similar to this storm?
  6. Silas Lang
    Good to at least see some snow on the CMC. Thanks for the clarification. It almost looks like the CMC wants to make that low the main low and doesn't transfer until well north. I can see how this set up throws off the models. They don't know where to place the low which creates a high bust scenario. Plus you factor in all this energy flying around...yikes. I will say, I am feeling more confident we will see snow Sunday. How much remains to be seen.
  7. Silas Lang
    Just curious, could that other LP you mentioned earlier on the other side of the mountains be a faint signal for an inland runner? Don't want to get greedy, but if we are getting close to a big dog event...I would like it. We do have the fact that John is going to be in Chattanooga to increase our luck
  8. Silas Lang
    12z top and 6z bottom
  9. Silas Lang
    Yeah the RGEM was looking to form a low in the gulf as well. Curious to see what the Euro does.
  10. Silas Lang
    12z GFS looks pretty similar to 6z.
  11. Silas Lang
    Would we see that looking at the surface? At hour 99 on the GFS you can see some lower pressure climbing up into nw south Carolina for a few hours before the low pops out in the Atlantic. That feature was not present on the 0z.
  12. Silas Lang
    Yeah it looks like that snow is mostly coming from the northern energy and the front. The low pressure is still actually pretty far east. The good news is temps look pretty good and it occurs at night for middle and eastern areas. Even if it stays a lighter event, there shouldn't be a whole lot of wasted precipitation which is always a win.
  13. Silas Lang
    The 18z Euro ensembles are bit more all or nothing. 8 or 9 moderate hits with a lot of blanks and several flizzard and dusting level events. No real big dogs.
  14. Silas Lang
    Honestly, not too bad for snow next weekend. Not too many total blanks, a lot of lighter events, a few moderate, and one big dog. I don't know about a big dog, but I think odds of seeing some snow on Sunday are pretty good, especially north of 40. Just the fact that for some reason climo likes this time of year (Valentine's day) makes me feel a bit more bullish on the odds.
  15. Silas Lang
    Yup. I think that is the first time it has appeared two runs in a row. Hopefully it continues with the 12z today. Would like to see it on the Euro as well.
  16. Silas Lang
    Indeed. Temps are below freezing during the event and stay that way for days afterwards. Lows in the single digits and teens at night. Perfect winter storm for the area.
  17. Silas Lang
    Nuts to see something so similar on the GFS and Euro. Seems they have been at odds frequently this year. Let's see if we can't get some ensemble support as well.
  18. Silas Lang
  19. Silas Lang
    18z GFS has the storm next weekend as well. Pops a weak low into central AL to north GA and keeps it just to the other side of the mountains. Snow maps not too different from Euro.
  20. Silas Lang
    Definitely some black ice in town tonight. My deck is slick at 30 degrees and the roads look wet.
  21. Silas Lang
    Yeah the Monday/Tuesday window has been trending NW. Good to see the Euro moving towards it as well as the GFS. Saw this gif posted in the southeast thread showing the trend on the GFS:
  22. Silas Lang
    Thanks, I stand corrected. I don't know how I missed it looking through the threads. Well climo does seem to favor that period for some reason. Hope we get some action this go round.
  23. Silas Lang
    In the other thread it was brought up that TYS and TRI had their best January snowfall since 2014 and 2016. I looked up the following Februarys and it looks like 2014 had the storm that clobbered the valley around Valentine's day in 2014. Nothing big in 2016. Anyway, hopefully this year we can get lucky around that time once again.
  24. Silas Lang
    With the highest totals since 2014 for TYS and 2016 for TRI, what was the February like in the valley for those years? I seem to remember 2014 having a couple of decent snows, but my memory is foggy.
  25. Silas Lang
    Pretty odd for Knox to have that much considering they measured two storms at .20 inches. I have measured 4.5, but it was a bit more evenly distributed between systems.
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