CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Here da perty map.
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Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion
CAPE replied to PrinceFrederickWx's topic in Mid Atlantic
CMC was a significant improvement. Thermals are much better, although still some warming aloft for a time. -
This is all I ever do.
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I have been known to have a beer while on the treadmill. Drink and burn.
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Work out everyday. HH everyday. Moderation folks.
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Have the suppression fears re-emerged in the storm thread?
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I like the Canadian a lot more today.
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Anyone post the clown snow map from the RGEM? I cant go in there. I only do early AM then again at HH.
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LOL here I am staring at my screen waiting for a damn panel to load on WB. Well that looks kinda Euro like, but more
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How much snow did you get there in March of 2018?
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I am pretty good at faking it.
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In the end that is all anyone cares about, whether they admit it or not. Maybe try being a little less abrasive.
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Next panel. The 4 or 5 that were tucked a bit inland at 0z are now right along the coast.
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It supports the op, which has to be the case at this range, but yeah comparing the 2 runs, a little more clustering on the eastern edge at 6z. Not that much though. Could still see the next op run make a shift NW.
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It has more to do with the proximity/strength of the developing coastal low and the resulting east winds. Cant really overcome that because we lose the surface up to 850. That's why the Euro solution is ideal. Ofc more snow goes hand in hand with the colder solution in this case.
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Yup if the GFS makes a small adjustment our way and the EURO adjusts a bit further NW(expected) we should do ok. The thermals on the GFS and esp CMC are awful for here after the thump. I want to see that muted. I'm ok with the warmish 850s, but surface temps of 40 for hours is garbage.
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I don't care much about amounts. I just want to be able to get out and enjoy it without having to worry about a rain soaked sloppy mess. I am rooting for the coldest solution.
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I am probably speaking from ignorance, but maybe if the Euro is going to make a more significant adjustment, it happens at 12z/0z.
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The 850 mb low looks more diffuse on the 6z run. Same general idea though.
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Euro didn't budge. Surface and 850 low maybe a tad further east.
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Yeah if the ens members don't agree with the op at this range then something is broken. It's GFS vs Euro. Which one will cave..
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I agree. I wish it were the correct outcome, but I don't believe it will be.
