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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. Yeah its 10 days out, but there has been a decent signal for just beyond the 25th over multiple GEFS/EPS runs now. Sadly the trends are not good for next week, but still far enough out where there could be some favorable changes-enough for a light event maybe- esp given the fast, chaotic flow.
  2. If only it was in a place where it actually snowed anymore lol.
  3. Went back and found this. 8" total but 6.5" max measured on the ground. Haven't had a storm that good since. Finished that winter slightly above average, at right around 19". 2018-19 was meh, with the biggest event being 5". Literally nothing since- just under an inch last winter.
  4. You were pretty close on the time. Blue at hour 234. The main wave was crushed south though.
  5. You might be right, according to Mr faith in the flakes' lol.
  6. well here is the gravy .. eta- The beef went south lol
  7. I think that one was a general 6-10. I think I had 7 or so here.
  8. Tired of seeing your phone about to die. You can email these images to yourself and post them here. Only takes like 30 seconds.
  9. I get it, but at some point the masses need to be able to read between the lines when something isn't stated in a perfectly explicit manner. Kinda tired of putting disclaimers/qualifiers on every post to prevent
  10. One extreme to the other.. but an expected shift given the advertised pattern. We need something a bit in between though lol.
  11. I was thinking more along the lines of, who the fucck needs gravy if you are eating a quality piece of beef.
  12. Friday HH sponsored by DFH 120 min IPA.
  13. Like you and I and some others have been saying, blocking patterns require some patience, and even then they don't always pay off. Well they normally do in a Nino, and often in a big way. Not as much in a Nina. We are at the midpoint of Jan, and I believe the conventional wisdom was any snow up until now would have been gravy. Ok, so no gravy... Someone else can continue with this metaphor.
  14. The Ravens are going to pound the ball. Not sure they wouldn't have the advantage if the field did get a bit snow covered. LJ and Dobbins would probably love it.
  15. lol I was just going to post this. Be lucky to see a few flurries during the game.
  16. Days are noticeably longer. It wont be long.
  17. I did the beach chases in Jan 2017 and 18, but both those years were also decent in my yard, esp 2018...right at avg. 2018-2019 was a disappointment, and it has been a disaster since.
  18. I ain't eatin' no chicken without ma damn biscuits. Bring me bugs!
  19. I would sign on the dotted line for 2 (even low end) warning level events through Feb at this point. We are in a motherfuccking rut man.
  20. Things aren't necessarily the same as they once were..
  21. Most of us were not as "smart" as we thought and too gung ho early on. I sucked lol. Nice to see some of the younger posters coming along and adding value to the discussions.
  22. Agree, but you can certainly see the screw potential the last few runs lol. If the blocking is as legit as advertised, its hard to believe one of these waves doesn't end up underneath us.
  23. Just updated today. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml
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