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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    On the Euro when 850mb low moves a bit SE off the SNJ coast it gets into a pretty decent spot. This is what I have been watching. Cant see the upper levels on the Icon, but I have a feeling it looks similar. GFS has the action further east/southeast during this timeframe.
  2. CAPE
    Hugging the Euro and 6z ICON for the coastal. Both get some nice banding here. Mount Holly seems less enthused about the potential lol. The pretty maps.
  3. CAPE
  4. CAPE
    Damn 10 degrees warmer there. UHI FTL.
  5. CAPE
    in the woodz tree sweat
  6. CAPE
    24/14
  7. CAPE
  8. CAPE
    Some nice late back end action here with this.
  9. CAPE
    da fuk is with the weenie spam @JakkelWx
  10. CAPE
    hate the first one.
  11. CAPE
    I am not worried. I should be careful with my messing around for risk of inducing unnecessary panic lol. If it underperforms it wont be because of the dews. The antecedent airmass is exactly what you want for an overrunning event.
  12. CAPE
    More importantly, does weather53 approve of the high position?
  13. CAPE
    26/12 My thump better not get eaten by dry air. I am all in on the front end. Back end is lookin
  14. CAPE
    Has the HRRR dried up the front end yet?
  15. CAPE
    I have had a few of their ales but not been there yet. Yea we should meet up.
  16. CAPE
    This is good stuff.
  17. CAPE
    lol ofc.
  18. CAPE
    Not sure the norther trends wont continue at 0z for the fgen banding from the coastal. Probably will. I just hope the waa part can produce a solid event, as I have had all my eggs in that basket from the beginning anyway.
  19. CAPE
    One thing I have learned over the years- when there is this much uncertainty/disparity across guidance this close to the event- go with the under. It is a nearly a 100% hit.
  20. CAPE
    It's not on to something, but it is ON something.
  21. CAPE
    @JakkelWx Did you notice Mount Holly went advisory for here? Not that it matters, but an indication of the uncertainty. Our county is expansive N to S, but we are both very close to Queens Anne's county, which has a WSW, and the forecast snow amounts are the same.
  22. CAPE
    HH GFS was kind of a shit run overall though. It has been the worst of the models for here.
  23. CAPE
    NE MD P U M M E L E D
  24. CAPE
    It is fun to look at but its absurd and will not ever come close to verifying.
  25. CAPE
    That's not an awful look even for interior NC. If that block is as advertised, and going with seasonal trends, that ridge may well verify flatter. As for my brother, he has already stolen all my snow so far lol.
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