CAPE
-
Posts
34,286 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by CAPE
-
@losetoa6
-
Ok you got the deck, or the covered front porch even.
-
A veritable disaster.
-
Wait- this isn't a great look?
-
If it somehow ends up snowing here, I will throw a party around the firepit with weenies and unlimited 120s for all. Y'all will have to sleep in the woods tho.
-
He is wise and really knows the local climo, and seems immune to hype. I don't think that is being negative.
-
Maybe. But if you ignore the dumbass snow maps and silly surface p-type maps, that run verbatim was a wound up coastal hugger with very marginal temps. You of all people should be able to tell us the actual outcome. That said, its an op run 7 days out with a favorable pattern as advertised on the means. Next run!
-
Verbatim? Me neither. Its (not) happening! tho.
-
Yes I was in Carroll county then. Instant whiteout when that hit, with rapid temp drop and flash freeze. Only event that was close to that, although not as dramatic, was the mid Feb convective snow in 2015. That was over 3" in about the same amount of time.
-
I see coastal storms.
-
Y'all know I hate snow maps but this captures that window pretty well. There is a signal there.
-
Yeah that's the rare one that would make pretty much everyone happy. Has snow for the whole state of MD and almost all of VA. Lets do it.
-
I counted 6 that look acceptable. Not as good as the 6z run.
-
It will be close enough to give us another cloudy day or 2 at least. Need more of those.
-
-
Yeah we aren't getting vodka cold, and we don't want/need it. We just want moderate cold, and that's exactly what the models are advertising mid to late month.
-
Looks like a wave along a front, with cold coming in on the backside. Some Barney cold at that.
-
The 6z GFS delivered ample digital snow, and Ji is asleep. I am sure the later runs will retract it so he can melt.
-
On the 6z GEFS I see 8 or so members with frozen for the MA region, with a few nice hits. Pretty decent signal.
-
Our nearby source region is going to be a lot less torchy by mid month, courtesy of what appears to be a sustained -EPO. Currently much of Canada is awash in modified Pac air. By mid month it is largely scoured out and replaced by polar air. Beyond the 15th of the month still looks like the period where our chances for colder storms increases. As @WxUSAF has been saying, anything we may get before that time is gravy.
-
0z GEFS looks decent for a little something early next week.
-
I think the WFT has a legit chance. TB D is not very good, and the WFT D line can pressure Brady and stuff the run. Their secondary needs to play well too tho. TB has some good downfield weapons.
-
I got my whine, and some cheese to go with it.
-
lol I always include a disclaimer anytime I post anything from the super LR/seasonal tools, favorable or unfavorable. The weenies seem to miss it tho.
