CAPE

Unless there is some enhancement, that line is weak sauce heading this way. Maybe enough to drizzle a bit on the drooping plants. My grass is already gone for the most part, as usual. Reseeding will commence in another week or so.

low of 77.

Not much else to talk about wrt the character of the upcoming winter at this juncture, outside of the nebulous QBO I guess. So yeah, they have to make it sound super interesting. Discussing what is probably the most logical progression (towards neutral) sounds boring.

Briefly hit 93 for the high. Back down to 91 now. It's sultry out, but just stepped out on the deck from the AC, and with the sun filtered through the trees, it felt pretty nice. For a few minutes, and engaging in little to no motion.

92/72

Taking the under on the advertised big heat was a good call. This period looked sultry with a Bermuda high and SW flow in the lower levels. Not like there is some anomalous upper ridge parked over the east. Looks pretty darn unimpressive at h5 actually.

84/72 at 11 am. Close out there.

Down to 85 here at 630. Not bad out with the low sun barely filtering through the trees. Tad bit humid though.

Monday is looking pretty interesting. I guess I could have put this in the other thread given the severe potential. Nice write-up by Mount Holly this afternoon, although I wouldn't characterize this period as one featuring "extreme heat" lol. So far, our weather has remained rather benign outside of the extreme heat. But, as expected with the introduction of a well- defined boundary into an airmass characterized by temperatures in the 90s and dew points in the 60s-70s, the main story Monday is the development of showers and thunderstorms, with some potentially severe. The best upper support looks to stay off to our north at this time. Current guidance indicates development in the mid to late afternoon with the most coverage across Delmarva and southern NJ. Taking a look at some parameters and forecast soundings, this seems to fit with progged instability and shear which are highest to the south. MLCAPE could reach around 2000 J/kg coupled with 0-6 km shear around 30 kt. As a result, SPC has placed our entire CWA within a slight risk (2/5) for severe weather and WPC has introduced a marginal risk (1/5) for excessive rainfall, though we`ve been fairly dry over the past week and this should help to limit widespread flash flood concerns.

92 was the high here. Currently 90.

91/71 here at 2pm. Not sure mid 90s are happening in my yard today.

89/70 at noon.

I have never observed 100 here that I can recall. Occasionally gets to 98. I am expecting 94-95 for today and tomorrow. Obv best chance of approaching 100 is in the urban corridor.

Not as hot but can still be humid af, even into early October. O-N-D are our Fall months.

Rather have a pattern where fronts actually push through with storm chances than a big upper ridge sitting over the east. More interesting, and there will still be plenty of sun.

73 for a low. Highest temp here this past week was 91. Let's see if we can do mid 90s today. Overall, pretty typical for late July.

Caught the edge of a storm here. Only a tenth of an inch but remains mostly cloudy with a temp of 74.

and now beer time?

87 here currently after a high of 90. Muggy.

Generally the same for my yard. 2010-11 was around average iirc, and 2017-18 and last winter were slightly above average.

Pretty decent outside right now with somewhat lower dewpoints. Temp is 83 here. Enjoy it while it lasts. Chuck's long predicted 'big heat' is nearly upon us.

Total is 1.22" unless something else pops up.

0.90" with the initial line that was training NE but finally sank far enough south to get clipped. More development to the SW. Can hear the booming thunder with that.

We have a 'moderately' warm period upcoming. More humid than hot. IF the seasonal trend continues, maybe we can largely avoid the second summer of Sept and Oct, and have seasonable temps and humidity. Would be nice for a change, but we are probably due for a longwave pattern shift.