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Everything posted by CAPE
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
CAPE replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I tend to agree with you on this one.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
CAPE replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
A lot of these people should never look at an op run at range, esp consecutive cycles. I mean, 12z and 18z are so close and exactly what we(collectively) want to see at this juncture.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
CAPE replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Good point. The 12z run had an impressive anticyclonic(over the top) wave break. Still highly amplified, but not so much this run. Something somewhat in between would probably work, dependent on timing of NS energy associated with the TPV. Lots of moving parts.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
CAPE replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
It's a singular op run, a full week out y'all. This gives more support to the ultimate(and desirable) outcome.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
CAPE replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Timing is always a major factor esp when the flow is progressive. In a sense, a blocky pattern is much easier, esp in a Nino when its all about the stj. Just get the block and wait for the right wave.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
CAPE replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Shortwave is sharper/deeper. The difference is in the NS. Timing.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
CAPE replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yep the general idea is the same, so the specific outcome isn't that relevant at this range.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
CAPE replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
HH GFS has more blue over my yard instead of just green for Tuesday-Wed. I think that's good.- 4,130 replies
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Drink more high gravity beer to disintegrate it. Seems like a good idea even if there are no facts to support it.
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I don't think they care much about a random op run 9 days out, just as no one here does.
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The pessimism is quite striking to our NE. All about perspective and location I guess. What totally sucks there would be more than acceptable here.
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22.5 after a high of 25. Got a fire going and sipping on a 120. Too bad the snow won't make it up here.
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Jan 21 - 22 Weekend SE VA and Eastern Shore Snow
CAPE replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like 2-3 inches is doable for OC. -
Even the weeniest of weenies knows better lol.
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Seeing something on most guidance but with nothing on the ground currently, hard to get excited over a chance for a snow shower. I guess if I lived in the higher terrain well NW I might care more.
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WB is always problematic for one reason or another. Mostly slow/laggy for me. I hate it overall but I am used to the clunky interface and only have to put up with it for 3 months.
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Jan 21 - 22 Weekend SE VA and Eastern Shore Snow
CAPE replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah I pop in here thinking the lower coastal plain folks would be excited about some snow, and all I see is discussion about bad geography. ofc we probably don't have many here who give a crap about the Lower eastern shore/southeastern VA. -
Funny you should ask! I have this DFH 120 min IPA in the fridge and Friday HH is near..
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
CAPE replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think he was just answering the question. If I were at his location and knowing he likes the big dogs and gets bored with the 2-4 deals the rest of us live for, I would be excited by today's op runs.- 4,130 replies
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High so far here is 25. Thin layer of high clouds most of the day. Looks and feels like a snowstorm could possibly hit areas to our south.
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
CAPE replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
Only time I like seeing an amped up wave to our SW is when we have a good look up top. More problematic here than further inland though.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
CAPE replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
GEFS has 1 or 2 members that remotely resemble the op. The majority that have a storm have it pretty far off the SE coast. There is something there during that period though.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
CAPE replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I am mesmerized by animating 500 mb. Some crazy shit. Cool wave breaking, and the end result towards hour 300 is a -NAO and a 50-50 low with a storm approaching. Entertaining run for sure.- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
CAPE replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
- 4,130 replies
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Late January and February Medium/Long Range Discussion
CAPE replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'm not judging lol. Makes him happy/miserable.- 4,130 replies
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