CAPE

I think Eminem is trash, but he is an artist. Apples and oranges. Gruden was an employee of the NFL- a head coach- a leader of men, and he pulled off the trifecta of discrimination, not to mention using vulgar language in criticizing the commissioner of the league(his boss for many years) and he did this over a period of at least 7 years. I mean if you want to have those views, which are completely antithetical to the policies/positions of the NFL, maybe don't put them in writing electronically. Not only is he a bigot, but man is he a dumbass.

Context and intent. Come the eff on here.

I've said that 2 other times this season lol. They have room for improvement, esp on defense. Their young linebackers need to get better.

and 37/43. Wow. 86% comp percentage.

He has some issues with ball handling at times. He usually comes back and makes you forget. Cant play QB much better than he did in the second half and in OT. 442 yards passing, 4 TDs, no ints, and led the team in rushing.

The Lamar trolls on twitter probably having a good time. Running back. Can't throw.

I did.

Cloudy and 67 here with a nice breeze. Not too bad. Still humid ofc.

I am actually good with the dryness. Allows me to control the watering of the areas I reseeded, which has all filled in nicely over the last 10+ days with the continued warm weather.

After another endless summer week upcoming, it still looks like we get a significant front and a cooler airmass for next Sunday and into the following week. GFS tends to be on the cooler end in the long range so temps might be closer to 70. Dew points at this time are in the mid to upper 30s- that's the big difference compared to this garbage air mass we have had seemingly forever.

0.16" of rain here today. Also the monthly total.

Absolutely. I will roll the dice with a favorable AO/NAO anytime. The basic problem in December is climo, so HL blocking may simply produce chilly and wet when storms come along, esp for the lowlands.

Rough day, but least he made the last one. Bengals look good, but I must root against them.

They really should have scored a couple more TDs the way they moved the ball with big plays.

Green Bay needs a kicker.

Pretty decent shower moving through here all of a sudden. Heaviest rain I have seen in over 2 weeks, which isn't saying much.

CFS weeklies start to build heights in the NAO domain around mid November. As advertised December has a -AO/NAO, -EPO, and neutral PNA. Things look to shift sometime in early Jan, and go to complete crap into February. Long way off, but at least seeing some signs that December could have a decent h5 look. I think that aligns with the thoughts of some of the folks who dabble in predicting the character of the upcoming winter.

Looks like the stagnant summer-like pattern breaks down next weekend with a trough moving east as a ridge builds out west. If the GFS is correct next Sunday will be the start of a more Fall like period. The frontal passage produces maybe a few sprinkles in our area verbatim, with the energy passing further north and west. Might be the middle of the following week for the next chance of significant rain.

Latest CFS runs have a pretty decent look for December, then it all goes to shit like the rest of the seasonals, with a monstrous Pac ridge and ++AO/NAO.

Looking forward to another week of 75-80 degree temps. Is this still Summer II or are we into Summer III yet? I will get another round of grass seed germinated and the only leaves coming down are dry crispy ones typical of late summer. Oak trees are dropping a ton of acorns this year.

Lol Weather Will wont be happy you posted this. And that looks like a smoothed over climo average snowfall map, maybe with slight adjustments for ENSO state. Just what one would expect from a seasonal model.

Canaan will still get 100". I will roll with whatever, and do a chase or 2 if necessary. I have plenty of work to do outside so I can make do with a mild/dry winter just fine. Much nicer to be outside than any summer month around here (May through October).

That one underperformed here, but still managed 5 inches or so. Much more just to my east. I should have chased that one to the beach too, along with Jan 17 and 18. Big snowstorms on the immediate MA coast with a whiff inland seem to be a thing during a Nina.

We just can't know if it will get cold enough to snow. It barely did last year for the lowlands, and if not for the persistent -AO/NAO it may have ended up much like the winter before. Therefore, 'Precip hole' setting up.

Snippet from Mount Holly on the continuing mild pattern- Little change to the overall thinking in the long term as a high amplitude pattern of Western US troughing and Eastern US ridging develops. Those looking for a return to cool and crisp autumn conditions will have to continue waiting, as this is a surefire warm pattern for our area. One recent change is that it does look like the onshore flow regime from over the weekend could continue well into Monday, which would lead to another day with a lot of cloud cover. Beyond then, while some minor day-to-day variation is likely, the overriding theme will be mainly dry conditions and temperatures running solidly above seasonal averages as ridging dominates the pattern. In fact, for the entire forecast period, there are no locations in the entire CWA forecast to drop below 50 degrees through the end of next week, not even the Poconos. A rather unusual stretch of temperatures as we approach mid-October. Another 7 days of warm and then maybe a change next weekend as a front approaches. If the GFS has the right idea, the week after next would feel like actual Fall, with normal/slightly below normal temps.