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CAPE

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  1. CAPE
    https://deadspin.com/you-ever-watch-two-teams-try-to-lose-1848251279
  2. CAPE
    Probably but we are seeing hints even at this range, so something to continue to monitor. 10 days out it's just big picture, and highly subject to change with the volatility in the overall pattern.
  3. CAPE
    Cranky weather guy I think. He stopped posting last winter iirc.
  4. CAPE
    24, frosty, and cloudy here. Looks and feels like snow.
  5. CAPE
    Well you don't throw in the towel. Historically a wave of that magnitude is favored to moved into phase 8, and some guidance is suggesting it may not occur until around mid month. If that is the case we will probably see some transient cold periods but the mean trough will likely remain out west.
  6. CAPE
    For all the talk of can kicking, this is a pretty good look right here, and there are hints on the ops and ens runs of a modest wave or 2 tracking along the boundary during the Jan 1-5 window. Just need that boundary to be far enough south.
  7. CAPE
    Read the thread I posted, then dig a bit more into the teleconnections if you want to learn more about the pattern drivers. There are legit reasons behind the model 'can kicking'.
  8. CAPE
    Good thread from griteater on the pattern progression wrt AAM and MJO.
  9. CAPE
    But the GFS gave you digital snow.
  10. CAPE
    High of 38 here. Currently 31 at just after 5pm.
  11. CAPE
    Good way to describe it. And why would we expect that not to be the case lol. Never easy, esp in a Nina.
  12. CAPE
    Latest edition of the weeklies looking good into mid Jan.
  13. CAPE
    Yeah something to monitor. The Canadian ens and Euro ext have it approaching/barely making it to phase 8 then into the COD. In the case of the Euro X it takes a while to get there- around mid month- which makes sense given the Euro gets stuck in phase 7.
  14. CAPE
    Latest CFS forecast looks okay.
  15. CAPE
    Its effed up. I looked this morning and it just had the gray and no lines plotted. The latest Euro forecast seems to get stuck in phase 7 for a while.
  16. CAPE
  17. CAPE
    Im gonna pretend that is snow cover Got some work to do. At least the model is indicating a chance of frozen southward in the LR. We got nothing for the next week at least.
  18. CAPE
    EPS is pretty chilly coast to coast at the end of the run.
  19. CAPE
    Low of 22
  20. CAPE
    Steelers
  21. CAPE
    And even if they would have made it, Rodgers gets the ball back in regulation with probably 40 seconds left and 2 timeouts only needing a FG to win. This one really made no sense.
  22. CAPE
    And again the play design was dumb. A rollout to Andrews with not much space. There were no other receiver options on the play unless Huntley reversed and ran back the other way in which case he would probably have been sacked.
  23. CAPE
    Taking the FG on the first drive might have helped too.
  24. CAPE
    18z GEFS is back to looking more like the EPS in the EPO domain for early Jan.
  25. CAPE
    EPS looks better up top than previous runs. I hope Weather Will doesn't panic because it doesn't yet have blue over us on this panel, and it did previously.
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