CAPE

He doesn't trust his D, and thinks his offense is the 2019 version. Maybe one day they will decide to play Stanley again.

All the bad coaching and late ticky tacky call aside, the Bills are the superior team and deserved to win. Ravens have lost 4 home games in a row going back to last season, which used to be unheard of.

Awful.

Harbaugh will never learn. And how do you not let them score on that run? No chance to get the ball back after that.

Overnight guidance trended wetter for the eastern half of the region with the upper low stalling along the coast and multiple vorticity impulses rotating through. Looks like 2"+, maybe 3"+ for the immediate coast. Probably won't dry out until Wed as it looks now.

But wetter. Looks like some places will see more rain tonight through Monday than last night with the slow moving/meandering coastal low. Some pretty impressive wind along the coast too with the pressure gradient setting up. 40-45 mph gusts for coastal DE tomorrow through early Monday morning.

I concur. Your version of it was pretty damn good too.

1.15" for the overnight period. Looks generally dreary for the next few days with some showers and drizzle at times.

Spits and drizzle. Impressive tropical event.

Weather people be starved for any action other than warm, sunny days.

Well, that wasn't the point exactly. Your post was wrt the 18z NAM precip distribution. The reality is as the tropical remnants move NW and interact with a front/encounter the cool/dry HP pushing in from Canada, there will probably be more than one associated disturbance impacting the region. The actual remnant low may result in a precip max to the SW of the DCA-BWI corridor, and then as the flow shunts everything eastward, there looks to be a developing coastal low resulting in heavy rains along the coast later in the weekend/early next week, thus another precip max to the east.

Ronnie Stanley may make his debut Sunday. Much needed with the recent injuries on the OL. Can we make it through one damn game without another season ending injury? Michael Pierce elected to have surgery on his torn biceps and is now done for the year. That's number 4!

Os aren't finishing strong. Hopefully they can win a couple more and finish above 500. Future looks good.

or the east?

6z NAM for part 2

Yeah, have to see how that part trends today. 0z Euro still looks decent, but latest guidance suggests it would mostly impact coastal areas.

Looks like everyone gets in on some rain from the initial surge northward late tomorrow and Saturday. Possible development/redevelopment of low pressure along the MA coast as the remnants shift eastward is the feature to watch for additional rain/wind for late Sunday-Tuesday period.

who wouldn't eat this? I rarely eat cake, but I am ok with carrot cake. Not always the best looker. Personally, the only really tempting dessert for me features deep, dark chocolate.

EPO/WPO driven, and we threaded the needle many times. It can work, but a pattern like that can just as easily be a cold/dry warm/wet deal too. Many ways to lose here, even with the holy grail of mod/strong Nino with strong stj, and HL blocking- although that's our best bet for above avg snow until proven otherwise.

Could be a soaker for the Ravens-Bills game.

On the northern fringe of that warned storm. Had a history of quarter sized hail and 60 mph wind. Just a brief downpour and a bit of small hail. No wind. Probably worse a few miles south and down towards Denton.

Ravens offense needs health, and the D still needs work. Better effort but still too soft. Lamar, well..$$$

From Mount Holly AFD this morning- The upward trend in strength and coverage of convection forecast for this afternoon has continued in the latest guidance this morning. There will be seasonably strong synoptic forcing for convection along with strong deep layer effective shear of 40 kts or perhaps even higher. The primary limiting factor with this setup remains the instability, which is likely to remain around 500-1,000 J/kg. However, the forcing and kinematic environment should be able to overcome the relatively low CAPE to result in scattered strong to locally severe thunderstorms. Additionally, the aforementioned mid- level cooling should also help overcome the less than impressive instability parameters with forecast mid-level lapse rates possibly exceeding 7 C/km. The primary threat of severe weather with these thunderstorms will be locally damaging winds and large hail, however the low- level hodograph curvature will also support a couple brief/weak tornadoes. Effective SRH values look to be around 100-150 m2/s2 with 0-1 km bulk shear around 10-20 kts. LCLs will be around 1000 meters or higher, so this will limit the tornado potential a good bit.