CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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Damn corn sweat It's all feed corn around here and its pretty dried up now. They should be harvesting soon.
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89 currently after a high of 90.
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62
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Highest forecast temp this week here is 93. That probably will be the absolute highest. I'll go with 92 . No UHI here, and less downsloping impacts than farther inland.
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High of 81 here. Probs get close to 90 tomorrow.
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Not sure what the core issue is, but the GFS seems to be depicting air that is quite dry compared to reality under these anomalous h5 ridges lately. Noticed this with the recent central US heat wave, where in some cases it had dewpoints in the upper 30s-low 40s. That will contribute to notable error in the advertised high temps due to the specific heat capacity difference.
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That would be true even 30 years ago for the DC area.
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Picked up some KBS Blueberry today. Drinking one now. Pretty good stuff.
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52 here. heading outside now to do some yard work.
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First Fall 2023 HH. Who is drinking what? BCBS here. Os are on late, starting a series at Arizona. Rays are playing well again and nipping at the heels. Coming down the stretch. Should be fun. College football is underway; NFL starts in less than a week. Winter is coming.. Great time of year!
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Beautiful early Fall day. 76/52
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lol what an unhinged, nonsensical rant. Is that 5? Shit, one more I think.
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Temp dropped to 56 at dawn. Driving through the open areas going to work temp was as low as 54.
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low of 57. Going to enjoy the next couple days before we ramp up into second summer. Looks disgusting for a week at least, with no rain.
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and March
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Latest edition- winter months h5
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Yeah I just noticed that. Still implies west based blocking with an active and favorable storm track.
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Classic -NAO. Colder/more snow in W Europe with that look too. Still Basin wide I guess. Interested to see the monthly breakdown later. Probably meh Dec, then gets better into Jan. March might become a winter month again too.
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It did a loop-de-loop in the W Atlantic and tracked SW to Miami on one of the runs yesterday lol.
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They were too far SE, and driving like grandma to get to the eye. Then they got there and were like "we are in the eye"!! Yeah, where nothing interesting is happening. Perry was the place to be- raked by the intact NW eyewall.
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It did go through an ERC as it approached the coast. Probably a high end cat 3 at landfall.
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Looks like the N eyewall just moving into Perry now.
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30 second downpour here. I have started reseeding so dry is not so bad as I can apply controlled watering.
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It's an ensemble based system I believe. For a seasonal/super LR tool, it updates way too frequently tbh. Some people think it's an awful model because it appears to be all over the place, but that is really just noise. If it updated once weekly or monthly like the CanSIPS, the output over a series of runs would be more consistent.
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I see that now. Shocker. Here is the actual 0z run for JFM from TT.
