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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. CAPE
    These poor folks. They never look at models hoping to see digital blue. They can't wait until late March when it starts to rain.
  2. CAPE
    Making yellow snow at the summit of Mt Rainier is quite the achievement.
  3. CAPE
    Quite the contrast between the humble Andrews and the asshole TE from KC who is spending all his free time on talk shows raging and cursing a HoF kicker. He should get checked out. Maybe onset of CTE.
  4. CAPE
    But you own a mountain right? It can be deep winter out there until mid April.
  5. CAPE
    Agree. Something either side of VD is still on the table but for now the means favor north. The advertised pattern evolution supports increased chances for our region beginning around PD.
  6. CAPE
    It did, but we were on the southern edge and had some luck. I would take a duplicate of that with a little more contribution from the southern stream. An active STJ with a quieter NS would be better for the big dog hunters.
  7. CAPE
    Yeah I made a couple posts about that period. Looks convoluted with NS energy involved. No way to know how it will go at this juncture. Could end up a Miller B/hybrid deal. Currently on the ens means everything looks a bit too north for us mid month.
  8. CAPE
    These drool worthy patterns have failure modes same as imperfect/flawed ones often give us a path to victory. In a Nino the stacked PNA/EPO ridge can complicate things.
  9. CAPE
    It could go like that. It will be painful for some. The antsy and impatient will be regular visitors to the panic room lol.
  10. CAPE
    Here ya go
  11. CAPE
    I think our best chances will come PD and beyond as the pattern evolves and matures a bit.
  12. CAPE
    It appears we are getting the 'ideal' pattern with all the teleconnections in the desired phase. With the coupled PNA/EPO ridge and the NAO ridge building westward and squeezing the TPV southward, the NS is going to be busy and chaotic. Tracking is going to be 'fun', with models struggling to resolve wave interactions and timing between the northern and southern streams.
  13. CAPE
    Put it here
  14. CAPE
    The pattern will take some time to transition, but all the ensembles say its happening. Early on, say the 12th-16th, although its possible the MA could see an event with some frozen, areas further north are favored as it looks right now. The potential storm for mid month looks NS dominant with energy moving southward in the flow between the PNA ridge and the TPV. Difficult to say how that plays out for our region, but behind that it looks like colder air should be in place with a more active southern stream.
  15. CAPE
    Low of 26 with heavy frost and some freezing fog. Looks pretty cool out there this morning.
  16. CAPE
    They are worthless period 15 days out.
  17. CAPE
    I would have downed that sucker to numb the pain after the Ravens debacle. I managed with weed and wine.
  18. CAPE
    I sometimes worry that he won't make it. Cracked that 120 open yet? If not you have more restraint than me.
  19. CAPE
    GFS lol. That's like 4-5" in a very small area. Also has a bit of snow flirting with the MA beaches just beyond this.
  20. CAPE
    This is the mean for the 12-15th window on the 12z GEFS, which is right at the beginning of the pattern transitioning to more favorable. This is horrible?
  21. CAPE
    At least we won't lose Monken after the AFC championship fiasco.
  22. CAPE
    Well MacDonald is the new HC for the Seahawks. Good for them. We stuck with stale Harbaugh who rarely seems to be prepared when it counts the most.
  23. CAPE
    As advertised lack of cold might be a problem with that one. The mid month potential might be more convoluted as the NAO builds west towards Baffin and the TPV gets squeezed south. Long way to go but it appears the legit cold comes in with/behind that.
  24. CAPE
    There are a couple waves of interest on the 12z GEFS- one around the 12th and the next for the 15th.
  25. CAPE
    For me it triggers the feeling that winter will be over soon.
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