CAPE
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Everything posted by CAPE
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What's with all the focus on this? May not happen at all in Jan. Or this winter. Maybe the pattern does break down/relax for the end of the month. The pattern looks favorable for a week to 10 days and there should be opportunities during that period. Beyond that who knows. If you want to keep looking out to day 15 for hopium, the GEPS looks pretty darn good.
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There has been a strong signal on the GFS op and GEFS for a wave tracking to our south with cold air in place for the 16-17th, and that continued on the 0z runs. EPS and GEPS have it too. As depicted cold is entrenched with the boundary to our south on the means.
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Looks like we had the deb tag team from Philly up in here lol
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Ooh that sucks. It is a different team, and Lamar is a much more complete QB now. Still think going into a 2 week gap with no action a little bit of a bad taste in the mouth might provide that extra focus and motivation.. human nature being what it is and all.
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Definitely odd. A loss in this spot might be good even though it meant nothing. Stings to lose to the Steelers no matter what the situation. In 2019 the Ravens destroyed the Steelers in the final game despite no Lamar and resting several other key starters. We know how that ended.
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The offense was pathetic to be fair. Huntley wasn't good. Turnovers too. Lets just hope like hell Lamar doesn't get a concussion or something in a playoff game.
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The Steelers third string QB is better than the Raven's second string QB. Steelers are clearly a major threat if they get in.
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So far its easy to tell which team wants this game and which one just wants it over with.
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I mean, can someone please wipe off the fucking camera? FSS.
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Number one priority for the Ravens- no injuries. Number 2- destroy the Steelers playoff hopes. Yes they can still get in, but winning today greatly improves their chances.
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38 and rain. 0.42" so far.
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Or not anywhere south of there. As of now its an OV/GL/interior NE snow event. Cold comes in behind, which has been the expectation based on the preponderance of guidance. Still a chance the cold comes in sooner with some frozen NW areas, but we know how that usually plays out.
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How about both? Probably going to see a light/moderate event (or 2) with modest waves tracking to our south before any KU potential the way the pattern looks to play out. One of these waves could be weak/ suppressed I suppose.
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Probably too soon for a KU. Might be after the 20th when the -NAO relaxes, but still cold in place. Something like this on the 12z GEFS-
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12z EPS hinting at that possibility.
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EPS for the 13th. Still a clear signal for storm track to our west. WW can show where the snow is.
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I agree. I think next weekend is still a bit of a longshot at this point. Might be a trailing wave possibility a day or so later with colder air in place. Best signal I am seeing on the means right now for a wave tracking underneath with cold entrenched is the 16-17th.
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12z GEFS- Hints of NS energy associated with the TPV interacting/phasing with a southern stream wave for the 17th.
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That storm is going to track along the thermal boundary, which has looked like it would be to our west for this period. There is a bit of a 'trend' to move it eastward a bit a faster. This can be seen looking at the individual members- a quick look at the 12z GEFS reveals that there are about 8 that have the boundary closer(or even south) and get frozen into our area.
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The ensembles have been on that window, as well as the GFS op the last 3 runs.
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Who knows. He is a one trick pony and a snake oil salesman. To him everything that happens at 500 mb and below in winter hinges on the state of the SPV.
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6z GEFS for the 16-17th potential. This is a pretty strong signal for a significant shortwave and developing surface low at this range.
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As long as its 50 miles further east so I don't get dry slotted.
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End of the 6z GFS run
