CAPE

Steelers literally steal Justin Fields from the Bears for a 6th round pick in next years draft. I predicted this was gonna happen when they traded Pickett, but not for that meager price. There are bunch of teams that need a QB, and none were willing to give up a late round pick for this dude?

No. This isn't arbitrary. You need to read more. Google can be your friend, as long as you don't fall prey to disinformation. Plenty of that available on the subject.

Chilly morning, and a high of 62. Full sun. Hard to beat.

Transient cold shots(relatively speaking) in late March into April are pretty common. Freezing temps probably don't occur as often, but it still happens. None of this is as simple as you would like it to be.

There is no criteria.

I offer you a challenge for next winter- make useful posts that add something of value and interest to the discussion. Copying and pasting WB LR snow maps multiple times a day, or every other day, especially without any context, is so boring.

High of 77. Currently 75 at 530. No UHI here. Amazing. March is the new May?

Yes. It's 80 muthafucking degrees in DC. lol snow.

Yeah good luck with the 'bring the precip and I will take my chances' mantra. That rarely works outside of the western highlands these days. Need a legit cold air mass in place, and sometimes a wave moving along a thermal boundary with Arctic air pressing can work.

Glass half full- we had a period with 2 snow events a few days apart, in the heart of winter. Snow on snow (here at least). There was a deep winter feel for 10 days. With a bit of luck/better wave timing, it could have easily been better. We had nothing like that last winter. Expectations were too high, as usual. We suck way more than not when it comes to snow, regardless of Enso state. As for the seasonal/extended models and the persistently epic h5 looks depicted, lesson learned. Boilerplate warm ENSO. Lets remember that as we transition into a Nina, and we see consistently shitty looks advertised by the same models for next winter.

Yes, having a hobby with a singular desired outcome that you have no control over and is a rare occurrence is pretty sucky.

High of 68. A beautiful day for April 12th.

We all really need to move. Only time the grass is dormant/ I can't put (cool season) tall fescue grass seed down and expect it to germinate is early Dec through late Jan- not necessarily because of temps or lack of precip, but because the sun angle is low/days are too short. Probably would grow if that period torched with a persistent SE ridge. Coming soon..

A bit worried about the mileage for a 30 yo back, but seems like a good move given they let Gus walk. Should be a better version for a year or 2 if they are able to find replacements for the missing pieces on the OL and actually improve that unit, which was pretty mediocre at times last season. Ravens will find some hidden gem RB in the later rounds or as an UDFA. Mitchell probably won't be a factor this season- probably won't be ready to play at all until Dec at the earliest. Who knows about Dobbins.. might be time to move on.

Hudson Bay!

The Ji-WW alliance would prefer you post this in the other thread.

I might have headed to Canaan if I didn't have a class this week. Looks fun. https://www.canaanresort.com/resort/webcams/

After some morning sun and calm, clouds rolled in quickly and the wind just picked up dramatically. Moderate shower now.

0.63" 3.15" for the month. The seasonal wetland is expansive and knee deep in places. Just put some larvicide in, 2 weeks earlier than normal. Last year at this time the water table in that area was still below the surface.

0.48" Looks like one last line of showers may come through with the front after midnight.

Yeah, so why post these maps lol. Pure fantasy at day 15, even in the heart of winter.

Most of the depicted looks we have seen this winter have been flawed in one way or another in the LR. Plenty of (probably) unwarranted excitement(me included) about the NAO domain in particular at range, as there were signs over a series of ens runs that it wasn't going to be a sustained legitimate block, but rather more of a transient, weaker feature induced by wave breaking. The guidance also largely duped us with the strength/position of the Aleutian low. That said, we fail plenty with so called 'ideal' patterns, and score in those that are flawed. As you know, weird things can happen as we get into early Spring, but snow in the lowlands has become more unlikely recently, esp in the cities.

Depends on the exact outcome desired. A relatively small scale, well timed wave(at night) tracking underneath with some dynamics and cold/dry air in place can produce a moderate event in late March. It has happened here a few times. Its one of those deals where it snows hard with the temp falling to freezing overnight, and by mid afternoon the next day its 45 and pretty much gone.

Because advertised favorable h5 looks like this 10+ days out cannot be ignored, and almost always verify and deliver. We have the last 3 months as solid evidence. Give your lawn a close buzz in preparation.

.07" Looks like the heavier showers this evening might pass mostly south of here. I would love for this to bust, not that this area was forecast to get the heavier rain. Most guidance had a half inch or so total.