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CAPE

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Everything posted by CAPE

  1. That storm sucked for eastern areas. Had about 8" here then rain, but it wasn't that warm lol. About 40. At the end the cold came back in and the 3" of slop that was left froze solid. Not even a top 20 on my list.
  2. One of my favorite March storms- March 5-6 2015. It was 0F when I took this photo that morning. Highs were in the mid 20s that day and I went on a great hike at Tuckahoe. We can get deep winter in March, even over here.
  3. These poor folks. They never look at models hoping to see digital blue. They can't wait until late March when it starts to rain.
  4. Quite the contrast between the humble Andrews and the asshole TE from KC who is spending all his free time on talk shows raging and cursing a HoF kicker. He should get checked out. Maybe onset of CTE.
  5. Agree. Something either side of VD is still on the table but for now the means favor north. The advertised pattern evolution supports increased chances for our region beginning around PD.
  6. It did, but we were on the southern edge and had some luck. I would take a duplicate of that with a little more contribution from the southern stream. An active STJ with a quieter NS would be better for the big dog hunters.
  7. Yeah I made a couple posts about that period. Looks convoluted with NS energy involved. No way to know how it will go at this juncture. Could end up a Miller B/hybrid deal. Currently on the ens means everything looks a bit too north for us mid month.
  8. These drool worthy patterns have failure modes same as imperfect/flawed ones often give us a path to victory. In a Nino the stacked PNA/EPO ridge can complicate things.
  9. It appears we are getting the 'ideal' pattern with all the teleconnections in the desired phase. With the coupled PNA/EPO ridge and the NAO ridge building westward and squeezing the TPV southward, the NS is going to be busy and chaotic. Tracking is going to be 'fun', with models struggling to resolve wave interactions and timing between the northern and southern streams.
  10. The pattern will take some time to transition, but all the ensembles say its happening. Early on, say the 12th-16th, although its possible the MA could see an event with some frozen, areas further north are favored as it looks right now. The potential storm for mid month looks NS dominant with energy moving southward in the flow between the PNA ridge and the TPV. Difficult to say how that plays out for our region, but behind that it looks like colder air should be in place with a more active southern stream.
  11. Low of 26 with heavy frost and some freezing fog. Looks pretty cool out there this morning.
  12. This is the mean for the 12-15th window on the 12z GEFS, which is right at the beginning of the pattern transitioning to more favorable. This is horrible?
  13. At least we won't lose Monken after the AFC championship fiasco.
  14. Well MacDonald is the new HC for the Seahawks. Good for them. We stuck with stale Harbaugh who rarely seems to be prepared when it counts the most.
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