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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Right...that is the point. Its also later than its' previous few runs.
  2. If that exact solution evolved, then I'd probably post more about it than I would if it jackpotted me.
  3. Later and later development....I'd still like to be in Maine for this.
  4. That is the needle thread...I'd be leery about a later detonation.
  5. It may this run, but the trend towards slower development is the main point.
  6. Yea. Probably mainly N NH and most of all interior Maine.
  7. In a marginal situation it may actually matter without heavy fall rates.
  8. ...as long as the ground isn't too warm....
  9. The celebration of white rain and cat paws.
  10. Which we won't...hence non-(exciting) event. Euro should look more like the UK and GEM. Next.
  11. Maybe, but there isn't enough antecedent cold for it to really matter at our latitude if the dynamics aren't there.
  12. UK also phases this late, as its probably like 990s passing the cape. We have our general solution.
  13. Looks like its headed towards ACK or just se.
  14. Good synopsis. I think the OP guidance will rush the decay of said PNA ridge, however, it is ephemeral to be sure....perhaps there will be a brief milder interlude before the higher latitude assist takes over and we turn wintry through the holidays.
  15. I think you guys are in good shape up there.
  16. I couldn't care less...non-event in my eyes. The early phase is highly unlikely IMO, but engage in the hunt for blue ballz if you wish.
  17. Yea, that is what I expect...it will develop later and nail Maine. Lack of dynamics will render this a non event everywhere further SW...maybe nuisance crap higher elevations.
  18. I like interior Maine most in this situation.
  19. Yea, same page. Question is how much of a compromise with respect to degree of phasing...my guess is that it will phase, but later than the NAM/EURO scenario.
  20. I don't think that the GFS is phased enough.
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