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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. @CoastalWx referred to this earlier ...
  2. I agree...exactly what my outlook yesterday outlined.
  3. So we have seen the WNW shift...
  4. Yes...plenty can go wrong and usually does.
  5. Probably, but we may also see a sharper veer to the east than forecast upon approach, which is often the case and could negate some of that.....unless it really gets captured.
  6. Note how all of those have WNW movement immediately....
  7. I'm not even doing First Call until tomorrow...venting online is one thing...
  8. Hearing Ukie sends near major into central LI
  9. I'd put more money on your fantasy team, than I would this system having a huge impact.
  10. At least it has the entire hurricane model suite to keep it company.
  11. Hopefully that is far enough east to spare me several inches of rain.
  12. But the EURO initialized too weak yesterday...it has to hit.
  13. Any time you start watching for that, its over.
  14. This page has it, but for some reason, the forecast maps are from February right now...I used it last season. https://www.trackthetropics.com/atlantic-wind-shear-maps/
  15. It can act an an outflow channel...I think that is what scooter is alluding to.
  16. I think later tomorrow, then later tomorrow night and Saturday is favorable.
  17. I get why the EURO yesterday was giving people pause...it wasn't even showing a storm, or a very faint representation of one....but this "it initialized at 1001mb and its already 991mb" is asinine.
  18. I am...I don't want 12" of rain. Honest truth.
  19. Hopefully I can continue last winter's karma and have the latitude "screw" me...
  20. Yea, I hope it stalls down there....my basement has had enough issues this summer.
  21. I'm not sure you are being entirely honest with us....lol
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