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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. Seriously, though...hyperbole on my part...not impossible, but pretty unlikely IMHO.
  2. Okay, if I said 15% chance, would it make you sleep better at night? What I was trying to convey to the semantics Nazis is that I am confident that will not take place.
  3. This is exactly my point....its not a perfect block, so yea....theoretically possible, but I feel pretty confident that we are not going to get a system to amplify west of us. I would stick with EPS over Euro OP right now.
  4. You also have some pretty good heights near Greenland, too, so I think the potential for that is measured.
  5. More the OP....EPS is seasonably cold. I guess 40ish and showers is possible, but I feel like if there is a major storm system, then N stream will be more involved and it will be colder, hence mainly snow.
  6. Its because I wasn't sure what he meant....he could have just meant no snow between now and xmas, which is possible for many of us....but if he meant 50 and rainy SW gales....that is a no-go.
  7. If we score, it will be one event in that 12/22 to 12/26 period...one will get keyed in on.
  8. 12/23 is entirely plausible...just needs work and I will want to see big improvements this weekend. If we get to Sunday night and we're still staring at H5 charts and prostate massaging, then its time to sell.
  9. I mean, can't rule out some pellets, but you should get several inches up there.
  10. I am just talking about the 12/23 deal....that needs work. I'd be shocked if we hit the new year without a significant snow event for most of the region.
  11. There is no chance of a grincher. Maybe we miss significant snows, but its not going to be 50 and raining on xmas.
  12. Well, he's right...the smart money right now is on a nuisance if anything.
  13. This will always take me back to the start of marine corps infantry school on the way out to the field for the first time...it had just come out, and the whole bus was jamming to it haha Good times.
  14. Yea, Paul has done a great job hitting on some of the limitations with this event....echoes this sentiment.
  15. Everytime you post, I predict a discharge of worthless, mindless dribble and it always ends up my best forecast of every season.
  16. Yea, this has time to hit everyone. I was just commenting on the run output...made me laugh. The period I picked back in early Novie for the largest event of an active month of December was the week of 12/19 to 12/26, so we'll see.
  17. Funny, the GFS 6 day snowfall map is about 12" here, 2.5" ORH and like .2" for rev lol
  18. That was extremely close.....it was a net gain due to the N stream dropping in faster, but it also looked like some of that was negated by the s stream being faster, as well....or else that may have been a hit this run.
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