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40/70 Benchmark

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Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Opal peaked as a 4 at 150mph winds.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's obviously peaked...as 8-9/10 post ERC systems have.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not the winter implications it can have....
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    48.2 for the low.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Thank god the dewy rev is gone...I like the cold biased version better.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Here is the source that I cited for those looking for more information on la nina structure. https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/16742834.2018.1386538
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Edge of my seat...
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Very negative EPO, too...that was all pacific.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hey, I am def not rooting against that analog...lol Cosgrove was mentioning it last night.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    The weaker la nina is, the more chances for other variables to intervene.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not necessarily...on paper, 2010 was perfect...but those patterns lead more room for suppression.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    We are far enough north that lining up the slot machines with all $ doesn't always end well...the mid atl needs that.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Stronger la nina correlates to a -PDO, not the other way around....huge Aleutian ridge forces a downstream western US trough.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    We are talking about a very negative PDO, 2014-2015 was very positive...that year was el nino, this is la nina, so you lost me on that. Believe me, I would be perfectly fine if things played out like that, though...
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Most la nina are negative PDO....especially stronger ones.
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    -PDO doesn't make la nina stronger, but it's not the best signal for winter in the east...means -PNA is more favored and makes polar fields more important. It's not a deal breaker, though.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't see enough evidence that la nina will be centered far enough west to be a real stinker. Doesn't mean it can't happen...
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    Why do you have 2014-2015 listed as an analog?
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    My guess is it comes in pretty similarly to last year....modestly to moderately negative.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Anthony will have that littered throughout social media within the hour lol
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    ACE juggernaut
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    @raindancewxwhen is your NAO formula ready?
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    It will be weak enough...just hope it doesn't up more west-based.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not endorsing that solution...merely explaining what the Euro tweak entails. I agree.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    First frost is fast approaching.....discuss.
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